The "new & improved" version

Just like any SKU sitting on any supermarket shelf in any city in America, the job of the brand manager is to constantly be listening and learning from the consumer - and in my case, the reader.

A couple of issues ago we surveyed you - our consumer - to see how F3 did (or did not) meet your needs. It was gratifying to read your responses and comments, some came from long time devotees of The Lempert Report which first launched in June 1985 and some from brand folks and retailers who have just joined the industry.

So what did you tell us?

WE ARE READ!
Over 78 percent of our readers reported that they rely on F3 each and every month to deliver quality and unique insights and information. Our subscriber base is now over 16,000! And for both these substantial accomplishments, I thank you.

WHAT YOU WANT TO KNOW
Consumer trends, retail trends and shopper behaviors topped the list of "must haves", followed by category trends, demographics and channel updates. We will continue to focus on these areas, and based on your input will reduce the number of reports on holiday trends and food safety issues.

BETTER FORMAT
As email technology has been refined, F3 will convert to a shorter format, which will allow you to scan the first paragraph of each story and then on demand read the rest of the story. This new format will cut the length of the email from 11-12 pages to 2-3; while maintaining the same number of monthly stories.

This fall, we will begin F3's 5th year (21st year if you count back to The Lempert Report origin), and with it I am happy to report that based on your feedback and ideas we promise to continue our tradition of being one of the most valuable and insightful sources of consumer trends, issues and analysis.

As always, I look forward to continuing to build our credibility and relationship and thank you for your continued support and feedback. I am just a click away. Click here to send me an email.


Demand Clusters make Stores Consumer-centric
FDA Faces a Full Plate of Labeling Issues
Global Spotlight on Russia
Five Things You Need to Know About Marketing to Baby Boomers
Focus on Consumer Trends to Drive Growth
Growth Key: Get onto the Hispanic shopping list
Fair Trade Bandwagon Gathers Momentum
Channel Watch


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This national survey examines shoppers' interest and attitudes, as well as in-store activities, regarding health and nutrition, consumers' efforts to manage their health, and the ways in which health and nutritional concerns play out in purchase decisions at the grocery store. This report brings a practical understanding of the relationship between food shopping and health. Shopping for Health 2005 takes a special look at the family, exploring kids' consumption of the recommended five-a-day, school lunches and family meal time. Click on the image above.



FMI's Speaks is the annual state of the industry report for food retailers. The report reviews the important changes and trends and puts them into an industry perspective. It presents detailed information on supermarket operations, store-level benchmarks and outlines strategic and competitive issues. Click on the image above for more info.



The FMI U.S. Grocery Store Shopper Trends 2006 is available. Click on the image above for more info.



This annual report provides you with a complete financial picture of the supermarket industry as well as the external business environment, including key ratios, balance sheet, income statement and statement of cash flow. The results are provided for the entire industry as well as by annual sales for more accurate benchmarking. Click on the image above for more info.



ACNielsen's new book on category management, published by John Wiley & Sons, is now available. To order, click on the image above. Or, for discounted orders of 10 or more, contact Jeff Gould at Wiley at jgould@wiley.com.




July 12, 2006


Self-fulfilling prophecies

No matter what your politics, you have to smile when you hear politicians bemoan the state of their own industry.

As someone who works in Washington, DC, I am constantly amused by all the concern about the "toxic nature of politics today."

After all, it's not as though this "toxic" environment was caused by some natural disaster, voter will or even by forces from another planet. The folks bemoaning the problem are the only ones who can fix it, but somehow that's never part of their speeches.

By the same logic, it's hard to figure out how to deal with a similar self-fulfilling prophecy within the supermarket industry. Speaks, FMI's recently released study of industry trends, found just this kind of thinking.

Asked to rate how shoppers enjoy their supermarket shopping trip, a wide percentage of industry leaders said they don't think their shoppers are happy at all. This unhappiness strikes the major stock up shopping trip of the week as well as the fill-in trips shoppers make. The unhappiness ends at the front-end, however, as executives say they believe shoppers genuinely like cooking the food that they didn't enjoy buying.

The finding might well be dead on the money and might strike at the underlying cause of the industry's continue slow growth. But it raises the same question that we could ask of our politicians: if you don't change it, who will?

Luckily shoppers aren't hiding their feelings all that well and they tell us very clearly what it is they would like to see improved in their stores. The question is, will anyone pick up on these suggestions and change the prophecy of the future.

  • They crave convenience, especially at the end of a busy day. They want those fill in trips made easier with special emphasis on quick grab and go meals or ingredients for meals they can quickly make.
  • They want to get through the front end faster - a finding that shouldn't be news to anyone reading this column. Although there is a conundrum here that one retailer pointed out to me recently. In some of the most quirky, and successful, formats that seem so popular with shoppers these days, the front end lines are longest. Perhaps there's something about the entire experience that we should be examining.
  • Price is important, but consistency seems to be more important. In a presentation at FMI's recent convention, John Rand of Management Ventures showed a very interesting statistic on the performance of companies with different pricing philosophies. Rand's point is that every day pricing is as important as every day low pricing. The consistency sends a clear message to shoppers that they like.
  • Perishables remain the ultimate point of differentiation for shoppers and a strong presentation can get you a loyal shopper base and a strong group of shoppers using your store as a secondary source. And once you have them there, sell them on convenience and meal solutions and you can keep them.
  • Experience matters and much of that comes from your employees. Study after study shows that clear communication to staff is essential in building better performance and a better store experience. Shoppers say they notice that.

    None of these areas are new, surprising or especially difficult to attack. If only, as they say in Washington, we have the will to create change. It's worth considering.
  •  

    Tap into the Power of Your Loyalty Database
    Shopper Analysis "Inside" & "Outside" Your Store


    Loyalty Marketing data holds the promise of deep, rich insights about your current customers - who they are, how they shop and what they buy at your stores. With the proper context, this resource can help you develop new business strategies and drive executable tactics to influence future consumer behavior and grow sales.

    To differentiate from competitors, retailers often embrace the introduction of unique departments, private label, or proprietary brands and store-created items as a way to show customers that they alone have what the shopper wants most.

    Yet, this effort toward differentiation poses a new challenge - how to create effective marketing and category management plans when few facts are known about the customer? It can be difficult to identify your target customer and understand sales of key categories, product lines, and brands within your store when quantitative analysis is sparse. Loyalty data can help bridge the knowledge gap.

    Panel data provides retailer-specific and market-level insights about "outside of store" consumer shopping behavior by category, sub-category and brand.

    Your Loyalty Marketing data can add new insights about "inside the store" customer buying behavior in unique areas of your business, including perishables, private label and regional brands. We help clients tie these two data resources together to create a complete view of consumer activity throughout the store.

    Our methodology "consumerizes" your Loyalty Marketing sales data by putting a face to every name in your customer database. Adding our industry-standard BehaviorScape segmentation framework to the cardholders in your Loyalty Marketing database provides a deeper understanding of household purchasing dynamics by mapping your customers to a broad-based perspective on shopping behavior. This brings "inside" and "outside" together.

    Retail clients are using this approach to better understand their customers at-large and create buyer profiles of specific items, strategic product lines and key departments. Analysis of these buyer groups leads directly to marketing strategies and tactics. For example, during a recent client engagement, we profiled buyers of a proprietary product line. Since these products were not largely available in panel data, the retailer often used primary research to understand their consumer.

    Using the power of their Loyalty Marketing data, we identified not just one broad buyer group, but three unique customer segments. We also identified the most important customer segment of the three and provided an analysis of shopping activity inside the store and outside in the marketplace. This collaboration provided the retailer with new insights for advertising strategies without the added expense of primary research.

    In an increasingly competitive retail environment, differentiation is critical - in products, services and understanding of customer shopping activity inside and outside the store. The information and tools are available. Tap into the power of your Loyalty Marketing database today.


    Demand Clusters make Stores Consumer-centric
    Retailers that can spot identical, or at least similar, demand traits in customers shopping at far-flung stores are in an enviable position: these chains can create demand clusters based on customer data-including how they want to shop, how they would ideally buy, and how they use products they purchase. Retailers then merchandise to these common insights to lift category performance in specific locations.

    To execute, retailers tailor category assortments, product pricing, displays and promotions to the needs of local markets rather than offer a one-size-fits-all approach. For example, an urban store selling jeans probably needs a more fashion-forward mix than a rural store that serves farmers who want rugged, functional design. The urban store may also be able to charge more and promote less.

    Until now, marketers have considered clusters geographic and primarily to yield greater efficiencies in advertising and logistics. By contrast, this new concept of demand clusters capitalizes on a chain's intimate knowledge of its shoppers' demographics, product attribute preferences, and purchase triggers such as price-regardless of where they live. By leveraging these insights, retailers gain an edge in satisfying customers, enhancing sell-through rates, cash flow and category profitability. Manufacturers that help with the research and offer to abdicate space in stores where their products don't move anyway can improve strategic relationships with retailers.

    The process has three possible tiers, states William Zeuch, Vice President-Category Management & Customer Insight, OfficeMax: Simplest is one program for all stores; most costly and difficult is one merchandising program per store; ideal is three or four groups of stores sharing similar consumer preferences, and with unique merchandising programs for each.

    How does a chain assemble, organize and analyze relevant data? First, secure national panel demographics of purchasers of a brand or category, and identify which matter most. For instance, does household size, age, income, or presence of children drive specific purchases? Second, model the shopper behavior, across all channels, and weight by volume to organize stores. Score the demographic traits for predictive power.

    Next, blend these insights with the understanding that purchase behaviors change with lifestages-and that affluence and where people live affect each behavior stage, urges Marcia Webb, Region Director, ACNielsen Retail Services. For example, startup families might buy baby foods/baby care like in the table below.


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    The more specific the data, the more powerful the insights. Average views of a chain's customer makeup fail to show either shopper diversity or effectively help a retailer pinpoint opportunities against local competitors. Once identified, however, Webb suggests using an analytical tool called Local Market Planner to assess a chain's current performance against nearby operators-and then target promotions with competitive pricing to develop categories by demand cluster.


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    "Demand clusters lead to a complete top-down neighborhood marketing strategy that establishes an understanding of the relevant consumer types for the chain, a consumer-centric culture, that can be reflected in the organization and set the stage for consumer-centric category management," describes Steve Kent, Senior Vice President-Retail Client Service, Spectra.

    Moreover, he adds, "Consumer demand-based clustering can increase the return on investment of category reviews. And local market tracking can redefine category scorecards and improve execution by consumer type."


    FDA Faces a Full Plate of Labeling Issues
    The Food & Drug Administration (FDA) may be the nation's first line of defense against health risks in foods and dietary supplements, as well as unfounded claims in their labels, but the federal agency is budget-strained as it copes with an array of new domestic and global labeling issues.

    Compelling topics currently swirling around FDA include:
  • America's obesity challenge and liability lawsuits
  • What the public really comprehends in food labels
  • Irradiation, food allergens, whole grain and trans fat labeling
  • Inconsistencies in regulatory enforcement of dietary supplement labeling, which broadly includes a brand's websites and use of third-party information
  • Differences between how the U.S. and international regulators approach labeling, and how that affects global food marketers

    It's not yet clear how these issues will ultimately wind up-although seven legal and food industry experts weighed in with their views during a recent teleconference, "FDA & Food Label Regulation," put on by Global Knowledge Congress for an audience made up mostly of food and beverage manufacturers.

    Panelists spoke in great technical detail about FDA proposals this year to define "whole grain," notify consumers of eight allergen groups, and list the amount of trans fat in food product labels. These were the news hooks that directly affected and engaged the audience. But to F3 an even bigger picture is the environment in which FDA made these proposals, and which is shaping agency-industry relations as well as assumptions about how much information consumers can absorb without inadvertently being misled or confused.

    For example, in the face of obesity lawsuits against fast-food chains "the food industry has certainly been proactive ... responding with low-sodium, whole wheat and other health claims," noted panelist Christine Humphrey, Esq., of C. Humphrey & Associates, P.A. "In addition to trying to communicate a healthier message on food product labels, industry has also been in the forefront of the Common Sense Consumption Act." About 15 states have attempted to statutorily prohibit fast-food tort suits using the model law sponsored by the National Restaurant Association, she said, noting it works "to prevent fast-food tort actions against food product manufacturers for any obesity-related claims, weight gain, or any health-related conditions caused by consumption of certain foods."

    Moreover, more food and beverage products are going through nutritional corrections, having shorter ingredients lists and being more minimally processed, noted F3's own Phil Lempert, one of the panelists: "We started to see brands reformulate, lower sugar, switch to whole grains, eliminate trans fats, have lower fat, higher fiber, more organics, more GMOs. The food and beverage companies ... all figured out that if we can make better products, we've got a better chance of having a healthier population."

    Such positive industry actions have prompted FDA to shift its emphasis from protecting "the gullible, credulous consumer" to today's approach that "puts that consumer aside," observed Frederick H. Degnan, partner, King & Spalding LLP. "The agency [now] tries to direct its fundamental nutrition-related information on food labels and in food labeling to the reasonable consumer ... how can the reasonable consumer take the information provided on the label and use it to improve his or her diet and in turn his or her health. The goal is to help consumers choose food wisely."

  • Global Spotlight on Russia
    With a land mass as large as the United States and Europe together, Russia's 143 million residents puts it in the top ten in terms of population. This population is concentrated more in the west and south, with a larger portion living in urban areas. This land, rich in natural resources, is the fourth-fastest growing economy among the world's top 30.

    Even with a currently declining population growth rate, there are a lot of consumers in Russia, and the economic outlook is positive. The Russian economy has grown its GDP by at least four percent and as high as nine percent every year since 2000, and the rate of inflation has dropped by half in the same time frame. Consumers in Russia are feeling the effects of this improvement, with credit rising 50% per year, real retail sales growing at least 15% per year and car ownership multiplying by eight times since the 20th century. Many western countries have expansion plans for Russia as well.

    Looking at personal wealth, it may seem like Russians are far behind their western counterparts. But Russians are listed as the 3rd richest people on the globe, behind the U.S. and Germany. This is due to the number of billionaires in Russia who have made their money in energy, natural resources such as metals and banking. These self-made billionaires tend to be young (average age: between 36-45) and still in their business "primes."

    Increasing wealth is not just limited to the few at the top, either. The Russian population has seen continual year-over-year growth in monthly income of 20%-30%, which has afforded them increases in real disposable income (inflation-adjusted, after basic needs have been met) of 8-15% in the new millennium.


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    The retail makeup in Russia is very diverse. Contrary to other parts of the world, the top seven retailers in Russia make up only nine percent of total market share, and only two of these retailers are international. Local retailers like Pyarterochka, Tander, and 7th Continent thrive alongside Auchan, Metro and Spar.

    Unlike Central Eastern Europe, though, there are an incredible number of small retail formats that exist throughout Russia. The open market is still a common occurrence in this part of the world, with over 120,000 existing in 2005. However, this format is gradually shrinking - down 40% from 2000. Kiosks, pavilions and minimarkets, on the other hand, are thriving all over the country.

    Some kiosks single-category focused - for dairy or beer, for example; while others include multiple convenience categories like sweets, tobacco, snacks and singleserve drinks. These kiosks can be located on street corners in any major city, and consumers can step up and purchase the item or items they need.

    Slightly larger is the pavilion, a tiny walled and roofed structure, where consumers can enter and purchase limited grocery or drug items. Pavilions are also found on main streets in cities throughout Russia. Moving up in size is the minimarket, a small-format retail outlet that is typically less than 250 square meters (about 2,600 square feet) large. These retail outlets can carry grocery or drug items as well.

    Traditional grocery stores do also exist, along with outlets such as cash & carry, pharmacy, category-specific retailers such as perfumeries and baby stores, and soft discounters. There are no hard discounters in Russia at this time.


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    Russia has begun to see an influx of "modern trade" outlets such as supermarkets and hypermarkets in recent years, which signals a change in the Russian retail landscape. While the open markets are declining, the modern trade universe is growing quickly. These new store types are growing at the rate of 25% per year, mainly due to the growth in supermarkets and hypermarkets. These formats have grown steadily since 2000, and now number more than 2,700 in Russia.

    In the coming years, Russia will continue to be an important market and consumer base for marketers looking to grow. Marketers must realize and understand the demographic and cultural diversity of this region, but with the growing spending power and economy, this region will be a prime opportunity for the coming years.

    Five Things You Need to Know About Marketing to Baby Boomers
    While it has been well documented how baby boomers began turning 60 this year, this is just the beginning of an evolution that could, when all is said and done, end up looking more like a revolution in terms of how it will affect marketers.

    Here are five things that you need to know about baby boomers:

    1. Get ready for more aging customers than you've ever imagined. By 2050, the population of the United States over the age of 85 will grow at eight times the population of the entire country. At the same time, the number of people between the age of 45 and 64 is expected to decline in the next few decades, and the ratio of young people (under 20 years of age) to older people (65+) will change from 3:1 today to 1:1 by 2050 - meaning that a radical demographic shift will take place that could have a tectonic impact on the marketplace.

    2. Furthermore, a growing percentage of these older customers will be women. In fact, if you're a woman and live to age 60 today, you can expect to live so long that you'll spend almost a quarter of your life in retirement.

    3. While it is impossible to predict with any certainty how these aging baby boomers will conduct themselves in their old age, history suggests that they are likely to make the same decisions in old age as they did during the years and decades before. For food retailers, this means that roughly between four out of ten aging baby boomers will spend an increasing number of their dollars on food to be eaten away from home.

    4. These same boomers also are likely to spend an increasing amount of their money on alcoholic beverages (especially beer and wine), home improvements and furniture, and consumer electronics ranging from cell phones to televisions. These are expenses that in the past might have been expected to decline as people got on in years, but not the baby boomer generation - many of them will have more money to spend and a greater inclination to improve their lifestyles by spending it.

    5. Baby boomers also have a different attitude toward money than their parents (who were shaped by the Depression and World War II) and their children (who have grown up spoiled, in a sense, with access to easy credit and a propensity for spending money they may not have). While they are willing to spend money on themselves in retirement - largely because they see themselves as having earned it - they remain anxious over their economic well being because of the national debate about the solvency of Social Security and because of their own experiences balancing their retirement needs with the cost of paying tuition for their children. The fact is that less than 20 percent of the Baby Boom generation has consulted a financial planner, and fewer than 25 percent of the people in this age group are actively pursuing any sort of retirement strategy.


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    The New York Times recently coined a phrase to describe the physical aspect of this: "generation ouch." The Times wrote: "Encouraged by doctors to continue to exercise three to five times a week for their health, a legion of running, swimming and biking boomers are flouting the conventional limits of the middle-aged body's abilities, and filling the nation's operating rooms and orthopedists' offices in the process. They need knee and hip replacements, surgery for cartilage and ligament damage, and treatment for tendonitis, arthritis, bursitis and stress fractures. The phenomenon even has a name in medical circles: boomeritis."

    This generation defies easy characterization. It knows it is aging, but doesn't want to be thought of as elderly. (Baby Boomers are likely to be the oldest group of people ever to refer to themselves as "middle aged," which will certainly raise questions about where the "middle" is.) They are concerned about retirement, but willing to splurge on items that they perceive as adding meaning to their lives. They may not even want to retire, preferring to find a second or even a third career that will offer some kind of fulfillment - an impulse that will parallel their desire to maintain a high level of intellectual and physical activity as they age.

    What will be critical for marketers is to know precisely what segment of Baby Boomers are being targeted, and not to assume that it is a homogenous demographic group. Because nothing could be further from the truth.

    Focus on Consumer Trends to Drive Growth
    With the overall United States population growing at 1-2 percent a year, manufacturers and retailers must look for growing consumer segments or trends to fuel both short- and long-term growth opportunities.

    The key consumer trends that we have been discussing with our client base and deserving of special attention are:

  • Aging Population
  • Ethnic Consumers
  • Convenient Consumer Solutions
  • Health & Wellness

    In 2004, 26 percent of all-outlet dollar expenditures (across categories that we track within our ACNielsen Homescan consumer panel) came from households with a female-head 55 years of age and older. Using 2004 spending levels and projecting to the future, we estimated that 55+ households will drive 31% of all-outlet spending in 2015 and 34% in 2030. Clearly, the shopping power of these households can't be ignored. Aging population is having a positive impact on manufacturers with products targeted against those consumers as well on retailers like Walgreens and CVS as their same-store-sales-growth has been driven to a large extent by pharmaceutical and front-end sales from aging consumers.

    Aging population will likely impact:

  • Store size & formats - older populations may prefer smaller formats as mobility becomes an issue with aging. However, our research to date shows that aging consumers are leaving Grocery retailers at about the same rate as the average household to shop Supercenters.
  • Growth of functional foods (e.g., vitamin & fiber additives)
  • Package technology (ease of opening) and smaller sizes
  • Ad copy & spending, as this segment has historically been ignored

    We also see an opportunity for generation marketing as the "younger" generations exhibit different channel-specific shopping behaviors.

    Short- & long-term growth can also be accomplished with better consumer focus on opportunities to serve the growing ethnic consumer base of African American, Asian and Hispanic households. Mass marketing to ethnic consumer segments is a thing of the past as factors like country of origin and differences in regional retailers and brands drive diverse category development across markets.

    As the country becomes more ethnically diverse and consumer tastes and preferences expand, ethnic marketing efforts can yield strong sales among the general population too. Retailers could probably do more to take advantage of this fact with in-store ethnic sections, more sampling of ethnic foods, and more effort around making ethnic foods a destination location in their stores.

    Nearly everyone seems to be in a hurry to get through the day faster. Consumers want quicker meals, easy-open packages, and ways to make personal grooming and home cleaning less of a chore. As a result, both short- & long-term growth can be accomplished with better consumer focus on opportunities to deal with speed of life issues. New product concepts must consider:

  • Portability
  • Preparation ease
  • Preparation time

    Retailers can win with convenient solutions too. Progressive Grocer published an article earlier this year or late last year about how Publix, Albertsons and Target are offering recipe ideas and shopping/cooking tips for customers who don't want to eat from a salad bar, but don't have time to prepare a meal from start to finish. Prepared meals and snacks that provide busy households the illusion of serving home-prepared foods should prosper.

    Finally, growth can be accomplished with better consumer focus on health & wellness opportunities. Food and beverage manufacturers must make health & wellness a key component of their product formulation and messaging and/or understand how to take advantage of indulgent consumers. Also, they must put plans and processes in place to improve their reaction time to new diets and eating habits. Organics, functional foods, elimination of trans fats, and whole grain breads and pasta are the hot products in this area. At retail, in-store health clinics are growing in importance as retailers look to help their shopper base deal with rising health care costs. Almost each month we see a new retailer added to the likes of CVS, Kroger, Longs Drug, Meijer, Publix, Target, Wal-Mart, etc. who have in-store store health clinic offerings.

    For further information or to arrange a comprehensive presentation on consumer shopping patterns, please contact Todd Hale at thale@acnielsen.com or 859-905-4615.

  • Growth Key: Get onto the Hispanic shopping list
    To retailers and CPG marketers, Hispanic consumers are sizzling hot purchaser targets. They comprise the fastest-growing ethnic populace in the United States-from 41 million currently to an estimated 48 million by 2010 and 60 million by 2020, projects the U.S. Census Bureau. They add spice to the American palate. And the ways packagers and stores court them bring an international flair to displays, and growth to popular categories among Hispanics: energy drinks, sports drinks, bottled water, granola bars and marinades among them in foods, and body washes, air care, deodorants and paper towels in non-foods.


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    Because Hispanics have large numbers and potential to lift food trade sales, companies increasingly take market positions that better connect their stores and brands to these consumers and earn a place on their shopping list. What are the list's key components? Which homeland preferences and cultural influences shape it? Which patterns and missions emerge? How do they differ among different Hispanic groups? How can stores and CPG brands influence the shopping list most dramatically?

    The Mystery Behind the Hispanic Consumers' Shopping List describes how brand manufacturers increasingly embrace Hispanic values in order to become a regular part of Hispanic life and land in their household pantries. For example, they support local and national Latino organizations and events, and contribute to Hispanic education/family, public advocacy and arts/culture causes. Meanwhile, stores aim to win over Hispanics with bilingual messaging, signs and coupons, Hispanic staff and tailored product assortments.

    When CPG makers and retailers do this, they're courting large households: nearly 50 percent of Hispanic households have four or more people. And since 56 percent of Hispanics are under the age of 30, the value of their potential long-term loyalty is high.

    Meanwhile, Latino flavor preferences are already key to growth in selected perishables, such as: seasoned meats, up 22.5 percent; peppers, up 14.7 percent; lemons, up 14.4 percent; herbs and spices, up 14.0 percent; fruit, up 9.6 percent; and pork, up 8.8 percent in 2005, according to dollar sales data from The Perishables Group.

    Even in such packaged foods as flavored waters, non-chocolate candies, salty snacks, ice cream and juices, emerging flavors that appeal to Latinos are berry, lemon, lime, orange, berry/lime combinations, hot and spicy, cheddar, honey and cinnamon.

    The same database shows that even the scents preferred by Latinos in common non-food items such as deodorants, detergents, air fresheners and liquid cleaners, are similar. They include citrus, berry, fresh, cinnamon and vanilla.


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    A by-product of the Hispanic-skewed variety is that all consumers have new choices at the shelf in mainstream categories. While this may pose space challenges to retailers, it can also bring an element of fun to mundane chores and more frequent replenishment.

    To see what's next, look south of the border. In Mexico, for example, some of the hottest food growth is occurring in: flavored milk, up 73.1 percent; bottled water, up 29.5 percent; fresh milk, up 15.1 percent; and yogurt, up 12.1 percent, show ACNielsen Mexico Panel Data, 2005.

    Fair Trade Bandwagon Gathers Momentum
    The Fair Trade movement, which looks to pay a living wage to farmers for their goods and services rather than the lowest possible price that can be exacted from them, received a boost recently when Lidl, the German discounter, announced that it would develop a private label line that will include only Fair Trade products.

    The private label, which uses the name Fairglobe, is being hyped via a national print advertising campaign as well as through in-store marketing efforts. The emphasis is on educating consumers about the meaning and importance of the Fair Trade movement, and a parallel/supplemental campaign is being sponsored by consumer groups and the German agricultural ministry.

    Lidl's efforts have been endorsed by TransFair, a trade organization that supports poor growers in Africa, Asia and Latin America; TransFair has created a kind of "seal of approval" that is going on all the Lidl private label products sold under the Fairglobe name.

    The Fair Trade movement has been a largely voluntary effort to this point, with various retail and manufacturing companies selling Fair Trade products as a way of creating for themselves a differential advantage. Starbucks, for example, says that its involvement in the Fair Trade movement includes "cultivating stable relationships with farmers" as well as "paying substantial premiums for all coffee purchases, long term contracts and affordable credit for farmers, direct purchasing, (and) investing in social projects in coffee communities." Last year, Starbucks purchased more than 11 million pounds of Fair Trade coffee from third world and poor countries.

    However, there are national movements to endorse Fair Trade initiatives, with countries such as Scotland and Wales considering legislation that would make them certified Fair Trade countries committed to a fair wage for poor farmers. One BBC report suggests that this could be good business, since the sale of fair trade goods in the UK grew by 40 percent last year alone.

    And even Wal-Mart - traditionally a retailer that focuses exclusively on low prices - reportedly is considering the development of a line of higher priced Fair Trade coffees that management feels could dovetail nicely with its efforts to diversify both its stores and customer base.

    While coffee is the product most often associated with the Fair Trade movement, other products involved in the movement include bananas, vanilla, rice and sugar.


  • ACNielsen estimates that in 2005, over $18.2 billion was spent across all retail channels in the paper products category which includes toilet tissue, paper towels, facial tissue, disposable dishes, paper napkins, pre-moistened towelettes, disposable cups, disposable coffee & tea filters, baking cups & liners, and soda straws.

  • The following slides indicate the percentage of households who buy each type of paper products, a sampling of higher indexing household types who buy products in the overall paper products category, and channel share of category dollar sales.


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    Facts, Figures and the Future is copyrighted and may not be reproduced without prior permission. For more information about the publication, please contact Phil Lempert at 323-860-3070 or via e-mail at PLempert@FactsFiguresFuture.com


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