The goal is simple - leave your brand better than you found it!

Whether your brand is a retail environment, or a product sold on the shelf, the objectives are the same: increase the shoppers' loyalty and trust in your brand ... and sales will be strong.

But the consumer perceptions of brands are multi dimensional; and all too often brand managers forget just how important and sacred the care of their brand is.

The "life" of a brand manager on a typical CPG product can be as short as a few months or as long as 20 years. And in most cases, there are no brand managers taking those responsibilities for our retail partners. That's a mistake.

A prime responsibility of brand marketers is to take ownership and be the caretaker of the brand. Your ultimate goal is to leave the brand better than you found it, and to enhance its relationship with shoppers. This responsibility rests with everyone in an organization - it should be the primary responsibility of the CEO, as well as the marketing, production, operations and administrative teams.

The brand belongs to every shopper and every employee who works on it; and everyone has a stake and responsibility for its health and well-being.

A shopper's relationship with your brand is built on honesty, trustworthiness, reliability and predictability. Problems with brands happen when the brand manager is not paying attention or gets lazy. Every time a brand changes its image - whether it is the advertising, packaging, logo, spokesperson, ingredients, and slogan -- the relationship with the shopper changes. Uncertainty enters the relationship and shoppers take a step back to see just what is going to happen, while waiting for the reassurances that nothing will alter the relationship they currently enjoy.

Positive relationships are based on human values: honesty, integrity, reliability and trustworthiness. Successful brands add a personality to these values. Wendy's Dave Thomas "brand" added a bit of wit. Apple Computer "brand" adds innovation. Grey Poupon mustard "brand" adds style. Tiger Woods and Michael Jordan, the "brands," have all of these -- and add a bit of charm as well.

Your brand image might contain all of these elements, but if they are not communicated well...and the shopper doesn't "hear" them, your brand will not be successful. At the core of a meaningful brand relationship has to be good communication. Communications control the brand, and good communications enhance the brand by consistently communicating the brand's values and messages.

Today's shoppers have information and news sources at their fingertips that brand managers could not have even imagined some 10 years ago. Brand loyalty and brand equity these days are simply measures of how well we're communicating. And while mega-brands may seem impenetrable, they are as fragile as the latest news report makes them. Finally, in today's world it is the Internet - and the opportunity for interactivity therein - that makes communication with the brand a more important element in marketing that it has been in the past.

Think of your brand as ... an egg, and I promise you will start to understand the dynamics of the shoppers' relationship with your brand.

An egg has been called the world's most perfect package. A shell which allows air to pass through while protecting and nurturing a life; and when subjected to equalized pressure on all surfaces is unbreakable. But take that egg, and gently hit it with a fork and it easily cracks open.

In the lifetime of your brand you should recognize that your brand will be cracked wide open a number of times for varying reasons. How the shopper reacts to those cracks will be based on their ongoing relationship with the brand. How you handle the cracks will be based on how well you understand your brand's relationship with the shopper.

Natural, Organic Labels Bring Gilt Edge to Beef
Future Predictions from our C360 Audience of Experts
Mixed Results as Consumers Consider Product Sweetness Claims
Build Trips, Basket Size and Profits with Analytics and Crisp Execution
New Media Sways Consumers and Prompts New Messaging Strategies
Channel Watch


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The FMI U.S. Grocery Store Shopper Trends 2006 is available. Click on the image above for more info.



This national survey examines shoppers' interest and attitudes, as well as in-store activities, regarding health and nutrition, consumers' efforts to manage their health, and the ways in which health and nutritional concerns play out in purchase decisions at the grocery store. This report brings a practical understanding of the relationship between food shopping and health. Shopping for Health 2005 takes a special look at the family, exploring kids' consumption of the recommended five-a-day, school lunches and family meal time. Click on the image above.



FMI's Speaks is the annual state of the industry report for food retailers. The report reviews the important changes and trends and puts them into an industry perspective. It presents detailed information on supermarket operations, store-level benchmarks and outlines strategic and competitive issues. Click on the image above for more info.



This annual report provides you with a complete financial picture of the supermarket industry as well as the external business environment, including key ratios, balance sheet, income statement and statement of cash flow. The results are provided for the entire industry as well as by annual sales for more accurate benchmarking. Click on the image above for more info.



This annual report presents five-year financial data on key pharmacy topics such as sales, margins, generic drugs and third-party plans. Click on the image above for more info.



U.S. Hispanics are emerging as the marketing opportunity of the 21st century. The fastest growing ethnic group in the United States, Latinos far outspend the average U.S. supermarket shopper. Learn more about U.S. Hispanic spending patterns, importance of products and services, coupon usage and influence of advertising. Click on the image above for more info.



ACNielsen's new book on category management, published by John Wiley & Sons, is now available. To order, click on the image above. Or, for discounted orders of 10 or more, contact Jeff Gould at Wiley at jgould@wiley.com.




June 12, 2006


Standing out from the crowd

It's hard to believe that there's actually a business lesson in an adventure movie like "Pirates of the Caribbean," yet the original film has a perfect moment to consider. In one scene, the movie's hero tells a pirate captain that there is no chance the pirate could beat him in a fair fight.

The pirate responds simply: "That's hardly incentive for me to fight fair."

It's a motto many in the industry should adopt. We're not talking about cheating, but rather, as the pirate captain made clear, finding a way to play to your strengths and not the strengths of your competition.

Speaks, FMI's newest report of industry performance provides ample incentive for operators to follow this very advice. The report tracks a range of strategies for retailers, who combined operate 15,000 stores, and paints a vivid picture of what works.

The clearest lesson is that companies with a defined strategy are the ones growing sales fastest. And, interestingly enough, the group that performed the strongest in the last year were independent operators.

FMI asked retailers to identify a range of competitive strategies: ranging from pricing tactics to emphasis on perishables to creating a better overall shopping experience. Retailers then graded their own performance. It was disappointing to find that most said they were using every single strategy, resulting in mediocre performance.

The one group that stood out was independent operators. Independents were pursuing a limited group of merchandising strategies. And that approach is paying off with independents realizing higher grades.

Perhaps the biggest proof of success was that independents-especially operators with 10 or fewer stores-reported the best overall and same store sales gains (4.7% above previous year's sales) of any of the groups FMI surveyed.

Of course, good numbers from a single year don't provide any guarantee of future success, but it's a place to build. FMI also recently released our annual study of shopper trends, which demonstrates the complex and contradictory demands of today's shoppers. What comes through clearly is that more than ever shoppers seek value in all its different forms and they are prepared to shop a wide variety of formats.

Understanding how shoppers define value is more complex. Today's shoppers are increasingly diverse-in both their backgrounds and the needs they want fulfilled. They use many different stores and sometimes want completely different experiences from an individual store they shop at on different days of the week.

This means the fight for shoppers is harder and more complex as well. One answer won't work for all shoppers; in fact it may not work all the time for a single shopper. But again, the results reported by independents demonstrate that a good number of you are getting it right.

What's clear is that every retailer needs to keep evaluating his or her own stores and all the competition to find out the best way of winning in the future. And the competitive message must come through clearly to all your employees, who need to understand just how challenging this battle is.

FMI's newest research studies: Speaks and Shopper Trends are available at the FMI store at www.fmi.org.

 

Crack the Retail C.O.D.E.

Manufacturers and retailers face many growth opportunities, particularly at the store level.

However, optimizing store-by-store performance and adding top-line growth can be difficult without information tools and a framework. One way to consistently achieve this growth is through a winning retail execution strategy: applying a simple, systematic four-step process that we call 'Cracking the Retail C.O.D.E.'

The C.O.D.E. approach employs a series of critical steps that all manufacturers should use to optimize their brand's success in the market. This consumer-centric approach links your actions in the store, where they matter the most, back to the consumers that are most likely to purchase your brand.

The four steps to 'Cracking the C.O.D.E.' are:

1 - Consumer Profiling - accurately capturing the demographic profile of the brand's consumer

2 - Opportunity Gapping - quantifying store-level opportunities based on consumer demand potential

3 - Dynamic Clustering - grouping like stores using multiple store attributes, including demographics, competition, and upside opportunity

4 - Executing for the Consumer - based on steps 1-3, developing store-level tactical plans and giving the field force the right information to optimize in-store presence

This strategic approach provides a deeper understanding of the consumer around a given store, measures the gap between actual and potential demand, and offers an execution plan at the store and cluster level that fully meets potential demand. The result is improved execution, reduced out-of-stocks and overstocks, and improved promotion performance and inventory management.

Many of our clients have embraced this approach, as have their retail partners. In fact, a key ingredient in this process is the utilization of POS data.

Our methodology "consumerizes" actual movement data, enabling retail-specific, item-specific profiling. This, in turn, allows the manufacturer to deliver granular analyses down to the SKU level. The analyses are also retail specific, based on the retailer's own data - adding power to the recommendations.

The manufacturers that have most successfully employed the C.O.D.E. approach are those that leverage this information and partner closely with their buyer; not only to improve their own brand's performance, but to grow the overall category as well.

Retailers recognize the financial benefit they receive when their suppliers incorporate the C.O.D.E. into their plans. They often want manufacturers to use POS information to strategically advise them, provide direction on how to improve category profitability, and leverage their data to identify opportunity and action plans. Therefore, many top retailers have agreed to allow us to use their POS information in our analyses.

The information and tools are available. The next step lies with manufacturers and retailers to partner together and apply the C.O.D.E. to identify store-by-store opportunity and close the gap.


Natural, Organic Labels Bring Gilt Edge to Beef
There's no stampede yet for natural and organic beef-which corrals only 1.6% of total beef dollar sales and 1.1% of beef unit volume at retail in the United States-but the thunderous steps of consumers demanding it may already be audible to butchers. This still-small segment is growing up fast: Dollar sales leaped by 14.4% and pound volume rose by 10.3% in the 12 months ended September 30, 2005 over year-earlier performance, according to FreshLook data supplied to F3 by the National Cattlemen's Beef Association (NCBA).


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"Most beef is natural," says Randy Irion, director-retail marketing, NCBA, because it meets the U.S. Department of Agriculture definition as "minimally processed containing no additives." The difference, however, is in the labeling. Branded natural programs are becoming more available, and readily garner higher prices with their perceived appeals and greater visibility. According to Irion, "prices for all beef products offered in retail supermarkets average $3.63 per pound, compared with natural and organic beef products which average $5.25 per pound." The $1.62 difference per pound represents a 45% premium that purchasers with higher discretionary income are willing to spend.

Natural/organic labeled beef isn't for every supermarket, but those in the right zip codes can use it to maximize category performance. To raise product perceptions among certain consumers, retailers can assort a variety of grain-fed or grass-finished beef, or natural or certified organic varieties. Such activity appears to be growing slightly, according to ACNielsen LabelTrends data for food, drug and mass stores (excluding Wal-Mart) in the 52 weeks ended March 25, 2006: Total active UPCs in beef rose to 351 from 333 a year earlier; of that, branded beef nudged ahead to 285 from 271 and private label edged up to 66 from 62. The greatest percentage gain in any beef segment was "branded with a natural claim," up to 39 from 31, for a 26% expansion. Of that 39, 11 were brand new UPCs introduced this past year, which represent a significant 28% of the segment's current offerings. By comparison, new beef SKUs overall numbered 65, or only about 19% of the retail beef mix.

Potential price pressures on beef may make it more important than ever for retailers to merchandise in ways that can yield high tickets. In a May 5 report, Wall Street analyst Thomas White of Best Independent Research LLC stated that "the beef market has its own woes. With Japan imposing a ban on U.S. beef, the domestic market is likely to become saturated with beef otherwise meant for export. As such, beef prices may head southward."

Branded beef currently accounts for 54% of the $655 million in pre-packaged UPC-coded beef sales in FDM vs. the 46% share of private label, according to LabelTrends data. Most striking in the sales figures is the continued surge of branded beef with a natural claim on the label: It soared 170%, 28%, 101% and 51% in four successive years, from $7 million annually to $70 million annually in the period ended March 25, 2006.

Future Predictions from our C360 Audience of Experts
In our ACNielsen annual Consumer 360 conference, I had the pleasure of leading a session on U.S. Retailing - Past, Present & the Future. While we provided our thoughts on the future of U.S retailing and the consumer or industry trends that will have a big impact in driving growth opportunities, we also asked the audience to provide their own view on how the retail landscape will change between now and 2010.

About 80 members of the retail, manufacturer, and supplier community were asked to address the following two issues:

  • Provide their assessment of which fifteen selected retail channels would show strong growth, moderate growth or declining sales by 2010.
  • Provide a ranking of ten issues related to consumer trends (e.g., aging population, ethnic population growth) and industry issues (rising fuel prices, RFID technology, Private Label, Wal-Mart expansion, etc.) that would have the greatest impact on U.S. retailing between now and 2010.

    About seven of 10 audience members predicted that online retailing would have the strongest growth. Kind of interesting considering this was after hearing about how Amazon.com is now selling more than 10,000 "non-perishable grocery items" online. Nearly 60% or more of the audience expects strong growth from the likes of Specialty Grocers (e.g., Whole Foods and Wild Oats), Drug Stores and Supercenters. Moderate to declining growth was predicted for Dollar Stores, Value Discounters (e.g., Aldi and Save-A-Lot), Home Improvement, Convenience/Gas and the Warehouse Club channel.


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    Audience members predicted that declining growth will most likely occur for traditional Mass Merchandisers, National Supermarket chains, Liquor stores, Regional Supermarket chains, Convenience stores, Electronics stores, and Pet Stores.


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    In terms of the ranking for consumer trends and industry issues that will foster growth, aging population, ethnic population and Wal-Mart expansion rounded out the top three with scores of 7.7, 6.9 and 6.7 respectfully). Organics and health & wellness, along with gas/home heating prices, and retailer consolidation received scores of 6.3, 5.9 and 5.7. Private Label received the number seven ranking with an average score of 5.2, while ranking scores for overseas production, frequent shopper programs, and RFID were below 4.0.


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    While predicting the future is an important ingredient for manufacturers and retailers to look for growth opportunities, the bigger challenge is putting plans in place that can turn opportunities into real growth. Those who wait to see how their competitors respond will likely find themselves in a catch-up mode and doomed for marginal success.

    For further information or to arrange a comprehensive presentation on consumer shopping patterns, please contact Todd Hale at thale@acnielsen.com or 859-905-4615.

  • Mixed Results as Consumers Consider Product Sweetness Claims
    Shoppers looking to lose or maintain weight often will turn to specific claims when making choices - and one of easiest to build a shopping list around is the issue of how much sugar is in a given item. It is a particularly interesting category to examine, since it illustrates whether consumers are being absolutist in their choices, or looking to make compromises that will serve their purposes without completely denying them the taste experiences they enjoy.

    For example, when looking at all products in what is called the "sweetener presence" category, ACNielsen reports that equivalized unit volume for 2005 was up 4.5 percent to 14.2 billion. The bulk of these were in the "no sugar added" segment, at 9.6 billion ... but this figure actually represented a three percent decrease from the previous year, suggesting that this particular claim may be losing resonance with consumers.

    "Less sugar," on the other hand - a qualified claim that implies a more relaxed approach to dieting - may be the smallest segment in this category at just 1.2 billion in equivalized unit volume last year, but that number grew 150.3 percent. The "sugar-free" segment is about three times its size, at 3.4 billion in equivalized unit volume, up a healthy 5.5 percent last year.

    In the "less sugar" category, the strongest performers were diet aids, at 653 million (+702.2 percent), ready-to-eat cereal at 187.1 million (+34.7 percent), refrigerated fruit drinks at 138.4 million (+57.7 percent), shelf-stable fruit drinks at 55.9 million (+99.1 percent), hot cereal at 9.1 million (+187 percent), and shelf-stable cranberry juice, which showed the biggest percentage increase in the segment at 8.4 million (+896 percent).


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    Product categories that were down in the "less sugar" area included yogurt at 34.6 million (-24.9 percent) and frozen novelties at 15.2 million (-20.3 percent).

    The "no sugar added" category had a much more mixed performance, with percentage decreases coming in three of the top six volume categories when measured by equivalized unit volume. Down were powdered soft drinks at 2.9 billion in equivalized unit volume(-9.5 percent), tea bags at 1.7 billion (-3.7 percent), and non-refrigerated apple juice at 698 million (-4 percent). Up were refrigerated orange juice at 1.5 billion (+0.4 percent), frozen novelties at 615 million (+15.5 percent) and non-refrigerated juice other than apple juice at 418.1 million (+9.9 percent).


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    Also showing decidedly negative annual results in the "sugar free" category were top sellers such as vitamins at 325.8 million (-22.2 percent), and diet colas at 185.5 million (-4.2 percent), while segments such as diet supplements were at 187 million (+17.7 percent), and non refrigerated fruit drinks at 86 million (+57.1 percent).


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    Build Trips, Basket Size and Profits with Analytics and Crisp Execution
    The more precisely a retailer's marketing, merchandising, assortments and pricing meet shopper need-states, the quicker consumers automatically decide to visit that store over other competitors. A store will win more trips and larger, lucrative baskets once shoppers feel it's relevant and regularly helps them complete buying missions on many kinds of shopping occasions.

    A retailer can become central to consumers' buying patterns by understanding how "...the needs consumers bring to particular shopping occasions strongly influence the store choices they make-and the same shopper has different needs from day to day and occasion to occasion," said Troy Noble, Director-Retail Business Solutions at ACNielsen, in his recent Consumer 360 presentation on Trip Mission Analytics.

    This well-known research nugget from an earlier study by the Coca-Cola Retailing Research Council of North America helped Noble make a point-that consumers are moving targets-and set the stage for his own guidance on how retailers and brand marketing partners can position stores well by satisfying myriad needs.

    "Consumers don't shop for one reason. They have varying needs across time. They may stock-up on Saturday, buy a few forgotten items on Tuesday, and need something for their lunch on Thursday," he described. "Need states vary by time, size of trip, and product areas central to fulfillment .... Each can be served by a variety of retailers."


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    Analyze trips so a store is better able to suit consumer patterns, he urged. "Retailers and manufacturers can incorporate trip insights into planning and start executing [because trip analytics are] grounded in time-tested principles such as Category Management and Loyalty Programs. They account for the larger role that categories play in serving consumer needs [and] create a different system for valuing the importance of categories, brands, segments and individual products."

    Further, trip insights explain the need-states felt by frequent shoppers, and the metrics on trip types won and lost are "excellent for tracking consumer loyalty levels and evaluating loyalty initiatives," he added. Trip insights also help uncover purchase patterns and deepen market basket analysis.

    With trip analytics, retailers and manufacturers can determine answers to critical questions, suggested Noble, such as:

  • How do consumers perceive you versus alternatives?
  • Are trips you thought were a strength actually dominated by another outlet or driven by other products?
  • How does your store execution and financial performance stand up?

    Moreover, operators learn how specific categories either drive or ride on specific need-states, and how they affect shopper loyalty by trip mission.

    Without high grades for different types of trips, a store is vulnerable to competition from other kinds of formats. "The battle centers on shaping consumer perception of your store as a trip destination. To own more types of trips, the opportunity exists for retailers and manufacturers to collaborate and serve their respective objectives," said Noble, who unfolded a logical process for analyzing trips.

    First, he said, study transaction data to determine product groupings, and aggregate displays because the right adjacencies lead to larger baskets. Second, examine the most common trip clusters you serve based on commonly occurring baskets with similar products and spending levels. Third, execute against these need-states (through displays, service, assortment, pricing) and communicate these benefits aimed to improve shoppers' in-store experiences.

    Noble underscored that trip analytics aren't the sole province of large-format stores with a quote from Unilever's 2005 report, Trip Management: The Next Big Thing: "Every kind of store can vie for trip growth. The different ways people shop for groceries, and their approving response to solutions that save time or money or meet other needs, suggest that the most innovative retailers will gain."


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  • New Media Sways Consumers and Prompts New Messaging Strategies
    A new media credo is emerging for retailers and consumer product goods marketers to obey: Your brand equity is the sum total of your search results.

    Perhaps it sounds unorthodox to believers in old media-print, television and radio-but it seems undeniable as media habits shift with American consumers' increasingly fast-paced, multitasking lives.

    "If marketers don't change too, they'll be using traditional communications that consumers will no longer be paying attention to," cautioned Steve Farella, chief executive officer, TargetCast, and Mark Green, senior vice president, ACNielsen, in their recent Consumer 360 presentation, Consumer Targeting in a Media-Driven World.

    The compelling appeal of online media content is its digital format, which makes it mobile and manageable for consumers. It empowers people who want to shape information for their individual needs. For example, they noted, consumers can:

  • Choose it: search, record, save and manage
  • Change it: cut, paste, delete and blend favorite bits
  • Create it: write, film, record and build
  • Share it: send, post and collaborate

    With such control, it's not surprising that on an average day 94 million American adults use the Internet-primarily to read or send e-mail (77%), search for information (63%), get news (46%) and do job-related research (29%), according to Pew Internet & American Life Project study of September 2005.


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    Nor is it surprising that Farella and Green both point to new media as the future environment that will matter most to retailers and CPG firms aiming to target consumers, both adult and children. They observe that people are flocking to:

  • Blogospheres - the growing universe of Blogs, Photoblogs and Vblogs
  • Podcasts - multimedia distribution of music, commentary and videos
  • Synthetic worlds - alternative online worlds with residents and virtual wealth
  • Wikis - collaborative spaces such as Wikipedia
  • Folksonomies - collaborative cataloging arising in Web-based communities

    The shift is happening fast: Veronis, Suhler, Stevenson data showed that media was fragmented in 2003, and was led by traditional television (1,745 hours per year), radio (1,002) and recorded music (184). "That's also when instant messaging began to surge among the young-they already consider e-mail passé-followed by blogs and iPods in 2004, and mobile video in 2005," described Farella and Green.

    Even more recent data show high percentages of women, men and teens using the Internet "to get everything," they added. Topping the list: music, video games, electronics, entertainment choices, technology, and health and medical information, according to the August 2005 Intelliseek Consumer-Generated Media Study. Moreover, people connect in digital neighborhoods formed around interests, and word-of-mouth that affects brand loyalty "travels like a virus in the social network medium," the speakers noted.


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    To target consumers in this new media-driven world, Farella and Green urged retailers and CPG marketers to "segment consumers into touchable groups. Find relevant and opportunistic engagement points. And look for connection points between consumers around common product or media interests."

    "Become a new marketer," they added. "Place your emphasis on connecting, influencing and tactically engaging consumers. Maintain relevant key performance indicators by understanding and linking media and business metrics."


  • ACNielsen estimates that in 2005, over $4.8 billion was spent across all retail channels in the skin care preparations category which includes acne remedies, face cleansers/creams/lotions, hand & body lotions, hand cream, skin bleaching/toning products, all purpose skin cream, special purpose skin cream, suntan lotions/oils/etc, suntan sunscreens & sunblocks.

  • The following slides indicate the percentage of households who buy each type of skin care preparations, a sampling of higher indexing household types who buy products in the overall skin care preparations category, and channel share of category dollar sales.


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