VNU's Consumer 360 Conference -- when you care about the shopper...

Steve Schmidt, VNU Marketing Information's president of The Americas, has lead the strategic shift for this Consumer 360 conference to meet VNU's objective which is "to capture 100% of consumer consumption." What does that mean? A 360 degree view of the consumer...the prices paid, coupons redeemed, web surfing habits, book, video & music purchases, movie tickets sold, new product preferences, stores shopped, newspaper, magazine and radio favorites, television viewing, and opinions shared. Bottom line: getting the most insight into the consumer as possible and then being able to predict purchase behavior.

Last Monday morning's weather in Phoenix might have been a bit cooler than the brand marketers and retailers were expecting...but inside the ballroom things were heating up as eight consumers told the attendees just what was on their minds. This no-holds barred session brought cheers from the audience as the panel almost unanimously agreed that they preferred brands over private label. They also pointed out where retailers need to improve: better customer service, more services to help handicapped shoppers and less self-check-outs. This consumer panel, which consisted of 3 men and 5 women included Latins, African Americans and Caucasians, concurred that eating healthy (even for the one gentleman whose favorite meal was beer and chicken wings) was now a number one priority. Most felt that they shouldn't have to pay 'extra' to eat healthier foods. The defining moment came when one panel member admitted to the audience that she had changed her eating habits a year and a half ago and stopped eating out. The result? She lost 135 pounds!

With over 1,100 brand and retail professionals in attendance, this conference clearly becomes one of the most important of the consumer-oriented symposiums.

Mark your calendars for next year's VNU Consumer 360 -- April 12-15 2004 in Boca Raton, Florida.






Anti-Obesity Efforts: Time For Public Action and Commitment!
Economic Snapshot
Why Early Adopters Are Your Best Customers For the Long Term
Optimizing New Product Positioning to Increase Sales
Why is Rx So Important!
Kinesthetics of the Supermarket: Close Your Eyes and Smell the Sales
Reaching the Hispanic Consumer: Media Habits
Channel Watch

FMI2



March 10, 2003


MIke Sansolo High Tech/Hi Touch High Tech/Hi Touch

Very few shoppers ever pick a store to shop based on technology. When asked why they choose one store over another they'll do it based on price, variety, service, quality or location. Technology doesn't really matter, or does it?

What is clearer each day is the important role technology plays in the industry's ability to run stores best geared to an increasingly diverse population. Technology gives us the ability to cut costs, smooth the supply chain, cut out-of-stocks and make sure the right products are on the right shelves.

All of these types of applications were on display at FMI's recent MARKETECHNICS Convention. But what was also on display were the implications and benefits of technology that our industry is going to have to learn to explain to customers in ways that they will find inviting and helpful, not threatening. Here are some examples:

- Bio-metrics provide a new measure of security for the shopper and the store in making sure, for instance, that the person cashing a check is the right person. Many customers would probably welcome that measure of security and might even appreciate how the costs savings will benefit them, but only if it's well explained.

- The Auto-ID chip may provide the ultimate source of tracking product through the supply chain, ensuring the right goods move at the right times to the right places. The benefits on shrink and out-of-stocks are profound. And for the shopper, the benefits could include better selection, reduced costs and a radical change in the check out experience, saving time and improving the shopping trip. But again, only if it's explained.

- Genomics may provide the most profound change for humans. As explained in one session by Harvard professor Juan Enriquez, genomics allows science to unlock the basic language of life and could result in foods that target and cure illness. The topic is enormous, the debate wide and the potential mind-boggling, especially for us non-scientists. And again, the consumer will need to know.

There were many other topics that laid clear the potential benefits of technology, but the only way to achieve that potential is by creating benefits for shoppers and clear, credible information. How much work remains was demonstrated when the audience was polled on a series of questions. Each time, the audience voiced a clear opinion that consumers are ill-informed, leading to skepticism of new technologies, even if they are beneficial.

However, there are some examples of how this can be overcome. Irradiated meats, once an almost unmentionable topic, sell out in many stores now thanks to well-communicated messages to consumers on food safety and the benefits of irradiation. The lessons can be learned and the benefits realized, but only if information and communication leads the way.

Let's hope it's a lesson we will repeat.

 

ACNielsen Column VNU Consumer 360 Conference...A Huge Success !

I shared in my column in the Spring 2003 Consumer Insight magazine, the challenges facing the CPG industry today include the following key areas of focus: broadening coverage, increasing marketing ROI, new product success, and retail execution. Without exception, we at ACNielsen / VNU addressed these critical business imperatives at our just completed Consumer 360 Conference.

For the first time ever, ACNielsen and Spectra came together and created an unprecedented consumer insight conference... Consumer 360. This conference focused on what VNU does best--understanding the many dimensions of consumer attitudes and purchasing behavior. Helping clients leverage that consumer knowledge and insights was the bottomline benefit.

Focused on bringing complete solutions that help place the consumer in the center of every marketing decision, this new industry conference showcased the consumer insights, industry trends, powerful tools and cross-channel perspectives housed within the companies that make up VNU, the largest media and marketing information company in the world.

Leveraging best practices from companies such as ACNielsen, Spectra, ACNielsen BASES, Nielsen//NetRatings, Nielsen Media Research, Trade Dimensions and VNU media publications, the first annual Consumer 360 conference brought together some 1,100 key retail and manufacturer industry professionals in a three day event designed to reveal how you can obtain a 360 view of your consumer through education, training and networking forums.

The conference was uniquely designed to demonstrate how VNU companies can create a robust, complete view of your consumer; therefore enhancing your understanding of how consumers shop and interact with your brand, or shop your stores. Attendees learned first-hand about some of the newly-developed ACNielsen capabilities:

- The creation of three Centers of Excellence that together provide end-to-end modeling and analytic solutions to key business issues such as marketing mix, pricing and new product introductions
- The evolution toward providing deeper coverage via a Homescan Mega Panel
- The building of an online opt-in panel
- The development of a new retail in-store execution model that dramatically fixes 'out-of-stocks'


And much, much more...

Navigating through a sea of consumer data can be daunting for any marketing professional trying to drive efficient, targeted execution. Marketers must understand everything about their consumers while utilizing a myriad of data sources. In an environment that demands increasing efficiency, Consumer 360 participants found out how they could connect to actionable consumer insights to gain the competitive advantage.

VNU and its many businesses continue to evolve to: help you address your challenges; invest in client-focused innovation; deliver actionable insights and focus on world-class quality & service. Collectively, our capabilities often deliver integrated solutions that far outpace what any of our companies could create individually.

If you missed the Conference, and would like a CD ROM of the 30+ Concurrent Sessions, send an email request to: Consumer 360 Conference. You will then be sent an "Order Confirmation and Agreement" form to complete and be invoiced for $500 for this value-packed collection of some of the actionable insights of the Conference.





Anti-Obesity Efforts: Time For Public Action and Commitment! 
The State of Maine decided to take obesity matters into its own hands by introducing the nation's first comprehensive anti-obesity effort - a series of bills that is the first of its kind, legislation that attacks the obesity epidemic from three significant angles.

The series of bills, if passed, will ban sales of some beverages and junk food in schools, require calorie labeling on chain restaurant menus, and promote transportation policies that encourage walking, biking and other forms of exercise.

Obesity rates are becoming epidemic, increasing in adults by 75 percent in the last ten years, doubling in children within the last 20 years, and tripling in teens within the last 20 years. It has reached the point that it requires a societal and cultural fix.

In our SupermarketGuru.com Consumer Quick Poll, 49 percent supported a ban on the sale of junk food, but allow students to bring them from home, while 32 percent of those responding favored completely banning the sale and consumption of junk food at school.


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In addition, 51 percent said that they thought that restrictions on the sale of junk foods would have "some impact" in lowering obesity rates in children and teens, while another 21 percent said it would have a "strong impact."

Three out of four respondents said that they would vote for a policy that use their dollars to build alternate transportation paths that encourage physical activity such as bike paths, walking trails, and pedestrian bridges, and about the same amount said they would be inclined to use such facilities if they were available.

More than nine out of 10 respondents said they believed fast food and quick serve restaurants should be required to post nutritional content information of the food they serve, with three quarters saying they felt such a move would have a "strong" or "some" impact.

Strong sentiments...the question is whether these feelings will translate into changing consumption patterns and choices at school, in restaurants and at home.


Economic Snapshot 
In the midst of a sluggish recovery, the actions of the Equity Markets, Corporate America and Consumers appear to be all reacting with the same "bunker down" mentality as geopolitical tensions increase and uncertainty mounts. With global economic implications, the unrest in the Middle East has broad reaching and market moving consequences.

Specifically:

  • EQUITY MARKETS: The less than average trading volumes (low end of the avg 52 wk high of 1.6 billion shares in NYSE), instantaneous reactions to related news and testimony from the Federal Reserve on the economic impact of an unresolved conflict, all point to increasingly leery investors.

  • CORPORATE AMERICA: Reflecting the same concerns as Wall Street analysts were comments emanating from the Business Council meetings held on Feb 19th in Boca Raton. A survey of CEO's across the largest U.S companies revealed the following:

  • 72% of CEO's expect the economy to grow at approximately same rate as 2002
  • Geopolitical risks were listed as the single biggest factor restraining growth.

  • CONSUMERS: While actions may suggest differently (see Jan retail sales ex auto + 1.3%), consumers are sharing the same level of concern as evidenced by 10-year low February Consumer Confidence data reported by the Conference board. (See chart). Consumers are clearly concerned over war, jobs, market declines and rising energy prices. Rising energy prices (Crude Oil at $37 at time of publication) is clearly garnering an increasing amount of interest given the historical ties to spending. Acting similarly to a tax, increases in home heating, and gas prices will effect purchase decisions leaving them with less to spend and stifling the sluggish growth. The wild card is a potential decision of the U.S. to release the Strategic Petroleum Reserves which would lessen the impact of crude oil prices.


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  • INDICATORS TO WATCH - February retail sales being released by the Department of Commence on March 13th will present another look into the correlation between sentiment and spending as well offer insight into the impact the poor weather in the Northwest may have had on monthly sales.

    Finally, Happy Birthday to Alan Greenspan - The Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of the United States celebrated his 77th birthday on March 6th.

    *For Further Information;
    For further information or to arrange a comprehensive presentation on the State of the Economy and its impact on the Retail sector please contact James Russo at James.russo@acnielsen.com or 516-682-6068


  • Why Early Adopters Are Your Best Customers For the Long Term 
    ACNielsen and ACNielsen BASES developed new research to pre-determine potential Early Adopters of a new product and the differences between Early Adopters and Late Adopters with regard to elements such as risk, change and influence. The research further evaluated whether these differences are revealed in their purchase behavior and the attitudes they exhibited.

    First, two years of purchase data were evaluated for new product introductions across five different product categories; ready-to-eat cereal, cookies, low-price shampoo, toothpaste and premium shampoo. Second, 10 attitudinal survey statements were fielded among the entire Homescan consumer panel. Early Adopters, identified from Homescan's new product purchase database, were linked with the attitudinal questions. The Early versus Late Adopter groups were compared to the actual new product purchasing records to assess the quality of prediction.

    The research showed that Early Adopters exhibited behaviors that put them in a desirable class of "optimal" consumers for both manufacturers and retailers. Of the attitudinal questions fielded, the strongest response across all product categories came from the statement, "I usually try new products before other people do." This highlights the Early Adopters' tendency to be more likely to experiment. A strong split was also noted in response to the statement, "I often try new brands because I like the variety and get bored with the same old thing." Early Adopters seem to be energized by discovering new product ideas, while Late Adopters tend to be more comfortable with the familiar, sticking with the brands they usually buy. Note to marketers: Keep it fresh!

    Other notable behaviors include the fact that Early Adopters tend to look for what is new and believe they usually find out about new products before other family members. They also like to tell friends and family about the new products they have tried. They see themselves as "opinion setters". Early Adopters also want incentives to try new products.


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    Early Adopters are more likely to be heavy category buyers. They purchase significantly more of the category than non-adopters and tend to get "hooked" on the category early on. Of the five categories studied, Early Adopters purchased almost double the amount of non-adopters. Interestingly, demographics are not a factor in determining the difference between Early and Later Adopters. Little difference among geography, gender, race, age of household head or household size was noted.


    Optimizing New Product Positioning to Increase Sales 
    Roughly 80-90% of the 30,000 new SKUs introduced in the US each year eventually fail, and are eventually withdrawn from distribution at tremendous cost to both manufacturers and the trade. All too often the positioning for new products does not address real consumer needs, focusing instead on less salient benefits that do not ultimately drive purchase decisions. At the VNU Consumer 360 conference in Phoenix last week Joe Willke, President of ACNielsen BASES, and Peter Fader of the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania described a new technique designed to assist marketers in gaining deeper consumer insights into specific drivers of consumer purchasing, in turn leading to optimal positioning of their new brands.

    This new analytical approach links brand attributes to sales volume. Association data are used on many BASES tests to assess a test brand's positioning on the important dimensions in its product category, relative to competitive brands. Consumers are presented with a battery of dimensions or attributes and asked which brands they most closely associate with those attributes. Association data collected for the test brand across multiple dimensions can then be used to create a very descriptive profile of the brand.

    Because ACNielsen BASES also collects volumetric measures used in forecasting for the same consumers, such a profile can also serve as an indicator of the brand's volume potential. In the chart below, the dark blue line plots a test brand's association scores across 24 attribute statements as measured in a BASES test in the concept interview. The BASES test also provides a sales volume estimate for the brand. In this case, let's assume that the volume estimated for the test brand (blue) was $50MM in year 1. But which of these 24 attributes is driving sales, and which ones are less important? What would the test brand's volume be if it did better on the most important dimensions? For instance, what might its sales be if it were able to match the category leader's score of 60% on attribute 4? Or significantly improve its performance on attribute 10?


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    The goal is to identify those attributes that matter most to volume, in order to optimize the impact of improvements to the positioning of the new brand.

    First, attributes with the most "room for improvement" are identified (i.e. lowest percentage of consumers who associate the new product with that attribute, assuming it is a positively-worded attribute.)

    Next, each attribute is studied to determine its potential impact on volume by examining the sales volume contributed by those consumers who associated it with the test brand, and the sales volume among those who did not. Attributes with smaller differences in volume contributed by these two groups are generally less important in driving purchase behavior.

    Opportunity for optimizing volume through positioning can then be quantified as the product of 1) room available for improvement, and 2) volumetric "bang for the buck." But not all attributes are equally important! Improvements in some attribute dimensions will produce a larger sales volume increase than improvements in others. By looking at both room for improvement and contribution to sales volume, those attributes representing the greatest opportunity for the marketer can be easily spotted in the upper right hand corner of the quadrant chart below:


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    Once the marketer has determined which attributes to focus on, a revised sales forecast can be generated using the learning gained from the analysis. Additionally, careful study of those consumers who did not associate the brand with those key attributes offers specific direction for targeting strategies in order to reach them and improve their perceptions of the brand.

    This breakthrough approach tells marketers where the true "hot buttons" are for their target consumers. Armed with this deeper understanding, marketers can then focus their consumer communication on those product dimensions that drive sales - and not on those that don't. By focusing on what is truly important to consumers, marketers can minimize failures and introduce more new product opportunities that hit the mark.

    For more information about this analytical technique, please contact ACNielsen BASES at info@bases.com.

    Why is Rx So Important! 
    The drug channel has shown remarkable stability both in the percentage of households that shop the channel and in the number of trips those households make to the channel each year. But there is definitely some category shifting going on, with Wal-Mart benefiting the most. With only a couple of exceptions, Wal-Mart is growing its share of the categories that are most important to the drug channel. Look at medications and remedies, for example. Wal-Mart now has an equal share of the single most important category to the drug channel. But while sales were flat in drug, Wal-Mart enjoyed a 10% increase in sales.

    Some fast-growing categories that are being driven by the aging population, at least in part, are vitamins for people 50 and over. The total multi-vitamin category was up 3% in 2002, but the segment targeted at those 50 and over grew four times faster. Special purpose skin cream is growing on the strength of products that promote the healing of scars, and teeth whitening products are driving sales of what ACNielsen calls the dental accessories category.

    Of course, a prime area of focus for those serving the older population is prescription medicines. Those 50 and older account for the vast majority (74%) of RX sales and hold 70% of the net worth of U.S. households.

    A market basket analysis shows why so many retailers are fighting for the RX consumer. Their overall per trip expenditures tend to be much higher. RX buyers are also extremely loyal to the store where they get their prescriptions. Nearly two-thirds of the money spent on RX is concentrated in one retailer.












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    The epidemics of obesity and diabetes in this country are driving sales of everything from medical test kits to sugar-free candy to diet aids.
    The drug channel has a strong share position in each of these categories, so it's in the best position to expand its offerings in categories that help consumers with various health management issues.

    In summary, the drug channel is well-positioned to benefit from the aging population, but it needs to vigorously defend its RX business. A critical issue is the nationwide shortage of pharmacists. The channel should also continue to grow its food offerings, maximizing and building on its reputation as the convenience store for women. Walgreens is testing a "Welcome Home Café" concept in 12 downtown Chicago units. The café features a small selection of sandwiches, salads and side dishes in a refrigerated case at checkout. All are priced at $4.99 or less. A company spokesperson says the program is a test to help expand the Walgreen's position as a food "grab and go" store. And, there are opportunities for other store-within-a-store concepts in the drug channel. Other channels are snapping up some of these opportunities; the drug channel should make sure it doesn't miss out.

    Kinesthetics of the Supermarket: Close Your Eyes and Smell the Sales 
    According to the New York City based Harvest Consulting Group and their BrandSense Report, our ability to recall scents and odors is much greater than our ability to recall the images that we have seen. Aromas affect shoppers both physiologically and psychologically, which in turn affect their purchasing decisions.

    When consumers do their grocery shopping after work or when they are most hungry, they may often come home with piles of food that they sampled or merely smelled. There is now a valid reason for their little spree. Researchers at Brookhaven National Laboratory in Upton, New York have found when people who are deprived of food to eat and then smell and taste their favorite fare, they experience a rise in brain dopamine, a neurotransmitter that is connected with feelings of pleasure and reward. The rise may be similar to what drug addicts experience. According to scientists, this marks the first time anyone has shown that the dopamine system can be triggered by food, even when the food is not eaten.

    While using smell to sell brand products is still relatively unexplored, there are a few proven findings, according to Brandsense. Odor affects people in a variety of ways, from mood to concentration, memory recall and emotion. When olfactory stimulation is effective, this effectiveness depends on a complex interaction of odorant, personality characteristics and experimental manipulation. Memory for odor is markedly resistant to time, easily accessed and tends to be characterized by a high degree of emotion, clarity and vividness.

    Retail marketers that incorporate something as subtle as a particular smell into a store, can actually have a little bit more control over how long a shopper will linger in the aisles, what a shopper may buy, and even which people will be attracted to a particular store. With the right combination of aromas from the bakery and produce departments, the frazzled and overstressed harried shopper relaxes as they begin to shop the store. The pleasant memories recalled by the aromas keeps him or her coming back and spending more.


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    Reaching the Hispanic Consumer: Media Habits 
    Due to the significant growth of the Hispanics in the US and with the increasing importance of the Hispanic market, it is important to put the Hispanic consumer in the center of your marketing efforts and customizing your consumer-centric marketing to effectively understand, reach and locate the Hispanic consumer. How do you reach your Hispanic consumer? Is Spanish TV and Radio always the answer? Here is some key information to determining how to reach them and with what language.

  • Both the Most Acculturated and Least Acculturated enjoy watching TV, the least acculturated watch Spanish TV while the Most acculturated tends to watch English Language TV. The Middle Group is more likely than the other two groups to listen to the radio.


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  • All Hispanics seem to enjoy Soap Operas with the Least Acculturated group tending to prefer Spanish Language Soaps while the the Middle and Most Acculturated groups skew to English Language Soaps.

  • The Most Acculturated and Middle Group has Drama, Awards/Ceremonies in common, while Music Videos/Shows are in common between the Least Acculturated and the Middle Group.


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  • Country & Western and all News Radio formats can reach both the Most and Moderately Acculturated Hispanics, however, Urban Contemporary and Golden Oldies can reach both the Least and Moderately Acculturated Hispanics.


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    In conclusion, marketers should use different media vehicles based on their consumers acculturation level.




  • Dollar sales at Dollar Stores outpaced growth in other channels and versus year ago.
    --The sales growth traces to an increase in shoppers and trips versus year ago
  • A decline in sales growth rate noted within the Club channel
    --Drop driven by rate of growth in both shoppers and trips


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