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VNU's Consumer 360 Conference -- when you care about the shopper...
Steve Schmidt, VNU Marketing Information's president of The
Americas, has lead the strategic shift for this Consumer 360
conference to meet VNU's objective which is "to capture 100% of
consumer consumption." What does that mean? A 360 degree view of the
consumer...the prices paid, coupons redeemed, web surfing habits,
book, video & music purchases, movie tickets sold, new product
preferences, stores shopped, newspaper, magazine and radio favorites,
television viewing, and opinions shared. Bottom line: getting the
most insight into the consumer as possible and then being able to
predict purchase behavior.
Last Monday morning's weather in Phoenix might have been a bit
cooler than the brand marketers and retailers were expecting...but
inside the ballroom things were heating up as eight consumers told
the attendees just what was on their minds. This no-holds barred
session brought cheers from the audience as the panel almost
unanimously agreed that they preferred brands over private label.
They also pointed out where retailers need to improve: better
customer service, more services to help handicapped shoppers and less
self-check-outs. This consumer panel, which consisted of 3 men and 5
women included Latins, African Americans and Caucasians, concurred
that eating healthy (even for the one gentleman whose favorite meal
was beer and chicken wings) was now a number one priority. Most felt
that they shouldn't have to pay 'extra' to eat healthier foods. The
defining moment came when one panel member admitted to the audience
that she had changed her eating habits a year and a half ago and
stopped eating out. The result? She lost 135 pounds!
With over 1,100 brand and retail professionals in attendance,
this conference clearly becomes one of the most important of the
consumer-oriented symposiums.
Mark your calendars for next year's VNU Consumer 360 -- April
12-15 2004 in Boca Raton, Florida.
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March 10, 2003
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High Tech/Hi Touch
Very few shoppers ever pick a store to shop based on technology.
When asked why they choose one store over another they'll do it based
on price, variety, service, quality or location. Technology doesn't
really matter, or does it?
What is clearer each day is the important role technology plays
in the industry's ability to run stores best geared to an
increasingly diverse population. Technology gives us the ability to
cut costs, smooth the supply chain, cut out-of-stocks and make sure
the right products are on the right shelves.
All of these types of applications were on display at FMI's
recent MARKETECHNICS Convention. But what was also on display were
the implications and benefits of technology that our industry is
going to have to learn to explain to customers in ways that they will
find inviting and helpful, not threatening. Here are some examples:
- Bio-metrics provide a new measure of security for the shopper
and the store in making sure, for instance, that the person cashing a
check is the right person. Many customers would probably welcome
that measure of security and might even appreciate how the costs
savings will benefit them, but only if it's well explained.
- The Auto-ID chip may provide the ultimate source of tracking
product through the supply chain, ensuring the right goods move at
the right times to the right places. The benefits on shrink and
out-of-stocks are profound. And for the shopper, the benefits could
include better selection, reduced costs and a radical change in the
check out experience, saving time and improving the shopping trip.
But again, only if it's explained.
- Genomics may provide the most profound change for humans. As
explained in one session by Harvard professor Juan Enriquez, genomics
allows science to unlock the basic language of life and could result
in foods that target and cure illness. The topic is enormous, the
debate wide and the potential mind-boggling, especially for us
non-scientists. And again, the consumer will need to know.
There were many other topics that laid clear the potential
benefits of technology, but the only way to achieve that potential is
by creating benefits for shoppers and clear, credible information.
How much work remains was demonstrated when the audience was polled
on a series of questions. Each time, the audience voiced a clear
opinion that consumers are ill-informed, leading to skepticism of new
technologies, even if they are beneficial.
However, there are some examples of how this can be overcome.
Irradiated meats, once an almost unmentionable topic, sell out in
many stores now thanks to well-communicated messages to consumers on
food safety and the benefits of irradiation. The lessons can be
learned and the benefits realized, but only if information and
communication leads the way.
Let's hope it's a lesson we will repeat.
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VNU Consumer 360 Conference...A Huge Success !
I shared in my column in the Spring 2003
Consumer Insight magazine, the challenges facing the CPG
industry today include the following key areas of focus: broadening
coverage, increasing marketing ROI, new product success, and retail
execution. Without exception, we at ACNielsen / VNU addressed these
critical business imperatives at our just completed Consumer 360
Conference.
For the first time ever, ACNielsen and Spectra came together and
created an unprecedented consumer insight conference... Consumer 360.
This conference focused on what VNU does best--understanding the many
dimensions of consumer attitudes and purchasing behavior. Helping
clients leverage that consumer knowledge and insights was the
bottomline benefit.
Focused on bringing complete solutions that help place the
consumer in the center of every marketing decision, this new industry
conference showcased the consumer insights, industry trends, powerful
tools and cross-channel perspectives housed within the companies that
make up VNU, the largest media and marketing information company in
the world.
Leveraging best practices from companies such as ACNielsen,
Spectra, ACNielsen BASES, Nielsen//NetRatings, Nielsen Media
Research, Trade Dimensions and VNU media publications, the first
annual Consumer 360 conference brought together some 1,100 key retail
and manufacturer industry professionals in a three day event designed
to reveal how you can obtain a 360 view of your consumer through
education, training and networking forums.
The conference was uniquely designed to demonstrate how VNU
companies can create a robust, complete view of your consumer;
therefore enhancing your understanding of how consumers shop and
interact with your brand, or shop your stores. Attendees learned
first-hand about some of the newly-developed ACNielsen capabilities:
- The creation of three Centers of Excellence that together
provide end-to-end modeling and analytic solutions to key business
issues such as marketing mix, pricing and new product introductions
- The evolution toward providing deeper coverage via a Homescan
Mega Panel
- The building of an online opt-in panel
- The development of a new retail in-store execution model that
dramatically fixes 'out-of-stocks'
And much, much more...
Navigating through a sea of consumer data can be daunting for any
marketing professional trying to drive efficient, targeted execution.
Marketers must understand everything about their consumers while
utilizing a myriad of data sources. In an environment that demands
increasing efficiency, Consumer 360 participants found out how they
could connect to actionable consumer insights to gain the competitive
advantage.
VNU and its many businesses continue to evolve to: help you
address your challenges; invest in client-focused innovation; deliver
actionable insights and focus on world-class quality & service.
Collectively, our capabilities often deliver integrated solutions
that far outpace what any of our companies could create individually.
If you missed the Conference, and would like a CD ROM of the 30+
Concurrent Sessions, send an email request to: Consumer 360
Conference. You will then be sent an "Order Confirmation and
Agreement" form to complete and be invoiced for $500 for this
value-packed collection of some of the actionable insights of the
Conference.
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Anti-Obesity Efforts: Time For Public Action and Commitment!
The State of Maine decided to take obesity matters into its own hands
by introducing the nation's first comprehensive anti-obesity effort -
a series of bills that is the first of its kind, legislation that
attacks the obesity epidemic from three significant angles.
The series of bills, if passed, will ban sales of some beverages
and junk food in schools, require calorie labeling on chain
restaurant menus, and promote transportation policies that encourage
walking, biking and other forms of exercise.
Obesity rates are becoming epidemic, increasing in adults by 75
percent in the last ten years, doubling in children within the last
20 years, and tripling in teens within the last 20 years. It has
reached the point that it requires a societal and cultural fix.
In our SupermarketGuru.com Consumer Quick Poll, 49 percent
supported a ban on the sale of junk food, but allow students to bring
them from home, while 32 percent of those responding favored
completely banning the sale and consumption of junk food at school.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
In addition, 51 percent said that they thought that restrictions
on the sale of junk foods would have "some impact" in lowering
obesity rates in children and teens, while another 21 percent said it
would have a "strong impact."
Three out of four respondents said that they would vote for a
policy that use their dollars to build alternate transportation paths
that encourage physical activity such as bike paths, walking trails,
and pedestrian bridges, and about the same amount said they would be
inclined to use such facilities if they were available.
More than nine out of 10 respondents said they believed fast food
and quick serve restaurants should be required to post nutritional
content information of the food they serve, with three quarters
saying they felt such a move would have a "strong" or "some" impact.
Strong sentiments...the question is whether these feelings will
translate into changing consumption patterns and choices at school,
in restaurants and at home.
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Economic Snapshot
In the midst of a sluggish recovery, the actions of the Equity
Markets, Corporate America and Consumers appear to be all reacting
with the same "bunker down" mentality as geopolitical tensions
increase and uncertainty mounts. With global economic implications,
the unrest in the Middle East has broad reaching and market moving
consequences.
Specifically:
EQUITY MARKETS: The less than average trading volumes
(low end of the avg 52 wk high of 1.6 billion shares in NYSE),
instantaneous reactions to related news and testimony from the
Federal Reserve on the economic impact of an unresolved conflict, all
point to increasingly leery investors.
CORPORATE AMERICA: Reflecting the same concerns as
Wall Street analysts were comments emanating from the Business
Council meetings held on Feb 19th in Boca Raton. A survey of CEO's
across the largest U.S companies revealed the following:
72% of CEO's expect the economy to grow at approximately
same rate as 2002
Geopolitical risks were listed as the single biggest
factor restraining growth.
CONSUMERS: While actions may suggest differently (see
Jan retail sales ex auto + 1.3%), consumers are sharing the same
level of concern as evidenced by 10-year low February Consumer
Confidence data reported by the Conference board. (See chart).
Consumers are clearly concerned over war, jobs, market declines and
rising energy prices. Rising energy prices (Crude Oil at $37 at time
of publication) is clearly garnering an increasing amount of interest
given the historical ties to spending. Acting similarly to a tax,
increases in home heating, and gas prices will effect purchase
decisions leaving them with less to spend and stifling the sluggish
growth. The wild card is a potential decision of the U.S. to release
the Strategic Petroleum Reserves which would lessen the impact of
crude oil prices.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
INDICATORS TO WATCH - February retail sales being
released by the Department of Commence on March 13th will present
another look into the correlation between sentiment and spending as
well offer insight into the impact the poor weather in the Northwest
may have had on monthly sales.
Finally, Happy Birthday to Alan Greenspan - The Chairman of the
Federal Reserve Board of the United States celebrated his 77th
birthday on March 6th.
*For Further Information;
For further information or to arrange a comprehensive
presentation on the State of the Economy and its impact on the Retail
sector please contact James Russo at
James.russo@acnielsen.com
or 516-682-6068
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Why Early Adopters Are Your Best Customers For the Long Term
ACNielsen and ACNielsen BASES developed new research to pre-determine
potential Early Adopters of a new product and the differences between
Early Adopters and Late Adopters with regard to elements such as
risk, change and influence. The research further evaluated whether
these differences are revealed in their purchase behavior and the
attitudes they exhibited.
First, two years of purchase data were evaluated for new product
introductions across five different product categories; ready-to-eat
cereal, cookies, low-price shampoo, toothpaste and premium shampoo.
Second, 10 attitudinal survey statements were fielded among the
entire Homescan consumer panel. Early Adopters, identified from
Homescan's new product purchase database, were linked with the
attitudinal questions. The Early versus Late Adopter groups were
compared to the actual new product purchasing records to assess the
quality of prediction.
The research showed that Early Adopters exhibited behaviors that
put them in a desirable class of "optimal" consumers for both
manufacturers and retailers. Of the attitudinal questions fielded,
the strongest response across all product categories came from the
statement, "I usually try new products before other people do." This
highlights the Early Adopters' tendency to be more likely to
experiment. A strong split was also noted in response to the
statement, "I often try new brands because I like the variety and get
bored with the same old thing." Early Adopters seem to be energized
by discovering new product ideas, while Late Adopters tend to be more
comfortable with the familiar, sticking with the brands they usually
buy. Note to marketers: Keep it fresh!
Other notable behaviors include the fact that Early Adopters tend
to look for what is new and believe they usually find out about new
products before other family members. They also like to tell friends
and family about the new products they have tried. They see
themselves as "opinion setters". Early Adopters also want incentives
to try new products.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
Early Adopters are more likely to be heavy category buyers. They
purchase significantly more of the category than non-adopters and
tend to get "hooked" on the category early on. Of the five
categories studied, Early Adopters purchased almost double the amount
of non-adopters. Interestingly, demographics are not a factor in
determining the difference between Early and Later Adopters. Little
difference among geography, gender, race, age of household head or
household size was noted.
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Optimizing New Product Positioning to Increase Sales
Roughly 80-90% of the 30,000 new SKUs introduced in the US each year
eventually fail, and are eventually withdrawn from distribution at
tremendous cost to both manufacturers and the trade. All too often
the positioning for new products does not address real consumer
needs, focusing instead on less salient benefits that do not
ultimately drive purchase decisions. At the VNU Consumer 360
conference in Phoenix last week Joe Willke, President of ACNielsen
BASES, and Peter Fader of the Wharton School of Business at the
University of Pennsylvania described a new technique designed to
assist marketers in gaining deeper consumer insights into specific
drivers of consumer purchasing, in turn leading to optimal
positioning of their new brands.
This new analytical approach links brand attributes to sales
volume. Association data are used on many BASES tests to assess a
test brand's positioning on the important dimensions in its product
category, relative to competitive brands. Consumers are presented
with a battery of dimensions or attributes and asked which brands
they most closely associate with those attributes. Association data
collected for the test brand across multiple dimensions can then be
used to create a very descriptive profile of the brand.
Because ACNielsen BASES also collects volumetric measures used in
forecasting for the same consumers, such a profile can also serve as
an indicator of the brand's volume potential. In the chart below,
the dark blue line plots a test brand's association scores across 24
attribute statements as measured in a BASES test in the concept
interview. The BASES test also provides a sales volume estimate for
the brand. In this case, let's assume that the volume estimated for
the test brand (blue) was $50MM in year 1. But which of these 24
attributes is driving sales, and which ones are less important? What
would the test brand's volume be if it did better on the most
important dimensions? For instance, what might its sales be if it
were able to match the category leader's score of 60% on attribute 4?
Or significantly improve its performance on attribute 10?
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
The goal is to identify those attributes that matter most to
volume, in order to optimize the impact of improvements to the
positioning of the new brand.
First, attributes with the most "room for improvement" are
identified (i.e. lowest percentage of consumers who associate the new
product with that attribute, assuming it is a positively-worded
attribute.)
Next, each attribute is studied to determine its potential impact
on volume by examining the sales volume contributed by those
consumers who associated it with the test brand, and the sales volume
among those who did not. Attributes with smaller differences in
volume contributed by these two groups are generally less important
in driving purchase behavior.
Opportunity for optimizing volume through positioning can then be
quantified as the product of 1) room available for improvement, and
2) volumetric "bang for the buck." But not all attributes are
equally important! Improvements in some attribute dimensions will
produce a larger sales volume increase than improvements in others.
By looking at both room for improvement and contribution to sales
volume, those attributes representing the greatest opportunity for
the marketer can be easily spotted in the upper right hand corner of
the quadrant chart below:
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
Once the marketer has determined which attributes to focus on, a
revised sales forecast can be generated using the learning gained
from the analysis. Additionally, careful study of those consumers
who did not associate the brand with those key attributes offers
specific direction for targeting strategies in order to reach them
and improve their perceptions of the brand.
This breakthrough approach tells marketers where the true "hot
buttons" are for their target consumers. Armed with this deeper
understanding, marketers can then focus their consumer communication
on those product dimensions that drive sales - and not on those that
don't. By focusing on what is truly important to consumers,
marketers can minimize failures and introduce more new product
opportunities that hit the mark.
For more information about this analytical technique, please
contact ACNielsen BASES at
info@bases.com.
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Why is Rx So Important!
The drug channel has shown remarkable stability both in the
percentage of households that shop the channel and in the number of
trips those households make to the channel each year. But there is
definitely some category shifting going on, with Wal-Mart benefiting
the most. With only a couple of exceptions, Wal-Mart is growing its
share of the categories that are most important to the drug channel.
Look at medications and remedies, for example. Wal-Mart now has an
equal share of the single most important category to the drug
channel. But while sales were flat in drug, Wal-Mart enjoyed a 10%
increase in sales.
Some fast-growing categories that are being driven by the aging
population, at least in part, are vitamins for people 50 and over.
The total multi-vitamin category was up 3% in 2002, but the segment
targeted at those 50 and over grew four times faster. Special
purpose skin cream is growing on the strength of products that
promote the healing of scars, and teeth whitening products are
driving sales of what ACNielsen calls the dental accessories category.
Of course, a prime area of focus for those serving the older
population is prescription medicines. Those 50 and older account for
the vast majority (74%) of RX sales and hold 70% of the net worth of
U.S. households.
A market basket analysis shows why so many retailers are fighting
for the RX consumer. Their overall per trip expenditures tend to be
much higher. RX buyers are also extremely loyal to the store where
they get their prescriptions. Nearly two-thirds of the money spent
on RX is concentrated in one retailer.
Click on thumbnails to enlarge
Use this link if you've received the text version
for graph one (
http://www.factsfiguresfuture.com/enlarged/MarRx1.jpg
) and this link for graph two (
http://www.factsfiguresfuture.com/enlarged/MarRx2.jpg
)
The epidemics of obesity and diabetes in this country are driving
sales of everything from medical test kits to sugar-free candy to
diet aids.
The drug channel has a strong share position in each of these
categories, so it's in the best position to expand its offerings in
categories that help consumers with various health management issues.
In summary, the drug channel is well-positioned to benefit from
the aging population, but it needs to vigorously defend its RX
business. A critical issue is the nationwide shortage of
pharmacists. The channel should also continue to grow its food
offerings, maximizing and building on its reputation as the
convenience store for women. Walgreens is testing a "Welcome Home
Café" concept in 12 downtown Chicago units. The café features a
small selection of sandwiches, salads and side dishes in a
refrigerated case at checkout. All are priced at $4.99 or less. A
company spokesperson says the program is a test to help expand the
Walgreen's position as a food "grab and go" store. And, there are
opportunities for other store-within-a-store concepts in the drug
channel. Other channels are snapping up some of these opportunities;
the drug channel should make sure it doesn't miss out.
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Kinesthetics of the Supermarket: Close Your Eyes and Smell the Sales
According to the New York City based Harvest Consulting Group and
their BrandSense Report, our ability to recall scents and odors is
much greater than our ability to recall the images that we have seen.
Aromas affect shoppers both physiologically and psychologically,
which in turn affect their purchasing decisions.
When consumers do their grocery shopping after work or when they
are most hungry, they may often come home with piles of food that
they sampled or merely smelled. There is now a valid reason for their
little spree. Researchers at Brookhaven National Laboratory in
Upton, New York have found when people who are deprived of food to
eat and then smell and taste their favorite fare, they experience a
rise in brain dopamine, a neurotransmitter that is connected with
feelings of pleasure and reward. The rise may be similar to what drug
addicts experience. According to scientists, this marks the first
time anyone has shown that the dopamine system can be triggered by
food, even when the food is not eaten.
While using smell to sell brand products is still relatively
unexplored, there are a few proven findings, according to Brandsense.
Odor affects people in a variety of ways, from mood to
concentration, memory recall and emotion. When olfactory stimulation
is effective, this effectiveness depends on a complex interaction of
odorant, personality characteristics and experimental manipulation.
Memory for odor is markedly resistant to time, easily accessed and
tends to be characterized by a high degree of emotion, clarity and
vividness.
Retail marketers that incorporate something as subtle as a
particular smell into a store, can actually have a little bit more
control over how long a shopper will linger in the aisles, what a
shopper may buy, and even which people will be attracted to a
particular store. With the right combination of aromas from the
bakery and produce departments, the frazzled and overstressed harried
shopper relaxes as they begin to shop the store. The pleasant
memories recalled by the aromas keeps him or her coming back and
spending more.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
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Reaching the Hispanic Consumer: Media Habits
Due to the significant growth of the Hispanics in the US and with the
increasing importance of the Hispanic market, it is important to put
the Hispanic consumer in the center of your marketing efforts and
customizing your consumer-centric marketing to effectively
understand, reach and locate the Hispanic consumer. How do you reach
your Hispanic consumer? Is Spanish TV and Radio always the answer?
Here is some key information to determining how to reach them and
with what language.
Both the Most Acculturated and Least Acculturated enjoy
watching TV, the least acculturated watch Spanish TV while the Most
acculturated tends to watch English Language TV. The Middle Group is
more likely than the other two groups to listen to the radio.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
All Hispanics seem to enjoy Soap Operas with the Least
Acculturated group tending to prefer Spanish Language Soaps while
the the Middle and Most Acculturated groups skew to English Language
Soaps.
The Most Acculturated and Middle Group has Drama,
Awards/Ceremonies in common, while Music Videos/Shows are in common
between the Least Acculturated and the Middle Group.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
Country & Western and all News Radio formats can reach both
the Most and Moderately Acculturated Hispanics, however, Urban
Contemporary and Golden Oldies can reach both the Least and
Moderately Acculturated Hispanics.
Click on thumbnail to enlarge, or click here.
In conclusion, marketers should use different media vehicles
based on their consumers acculturation level.
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Facts, Figures and the Future is copyrighted and may not be
reproduced without prior permission. For more information about the
publication, please contact Phil Lempert at 323-860-3070 or via
e-mail at
PLempert@FactsFiguresFuture.com
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