Sometimes, a little more thought upfront can make the difference

The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designed a new version of its already revamped food pyramid with the intent to appeal to children between the ages of six and eleven. NOT! #1.

The simplified graphics on mypyramid.com are linked to an interactive game that USDA hopes will help kids avoid or combat obesity problems. The game permits kids to record both their food consumption and physical activity levels online, and uses a rocket ship as a metaphor - if the food is good the ship is able to take off, but if the food is bad it sputters and emits black smoke. NOT! #2.

The concept of empowering kids to fill up on fruit and vegetables is a good one; grab whole grains (rather than processed cereals, bread and pasta), consume calcium-rich foods, avoid fatty foods and fast foods and to get at least an hour of physical activity each day.

The problem is that it appears that no one from the USDA has kids; or at least has ever taken the time to look at the video games or internet sites that kids frequent.

MyPyramid.com - the kids version - isn't all that scintillating, exciting or graphically targeted to the target market; and once again underscores the importance of understanding one's potential consumer, albeit any age.

To build effective communication, talking the right language is key! Perhaps for the next iteration, the folks at USDA should form and tap into an industry task force made up of marketing execs from cereal, candy, fast food and fashion brands who clearly understand how to communicate with the younger generations!

A thank you to our readers

With this issue, Facts, Figures & the Future celebrates the commencement of our fourth year in bringing you our observations of, and predictions for, the latest consumer trends and shopping behaviors. As always, I urge you to email me and tell me what issues are of most concern, and I thank you for your most positive support and comments since we partnered the insights of The Lempert Report with the resources of ACNielsen to create Facts, Figures & the Future. Our objective is to continue to help you stay on the cutting edge of consumer behaviors and provide you with the tools you need to capitalize on the trends.

Free Standing Inserts: the 2005 Evolution
The Future of Food: Young consumers favor ethnic foods
African Americans Buy Differently Too!
The Difference Between Boys and Girls
'Tattooed' Fruit: May put an end to PLU stickers
Olive Oil Growth Seen in Organics and Flavors
Self-Checkout: More Male, and More Popular
Whitening, a rare bright spot, helps quell $100M sales skid in toothpastes
Study: Are Wal-Mart Shoppers Different from Target Shoppers?
Massachusetts Grocer Offering Cell Phone-Based Loyalty Program
Channel Watch


This annual report presents five-year financial data on key pharmacy topics such as sales, margins, generic drugs and third-party plans. Click here.
The FMI U.S. Grocery Store Shopper Trends 2005 is available. Click here for more details.
The 14th Annual Trade Promotion Practices and Emerging Issues Study is now available from ACNielsen. To purchase a copy, click here.
The FMI/Rodale Shopping for Health survey of consumers is available.
Click here
for more details.
ACNielsen's latest Private Label Trends Report is now available. For information, click here.



October 10, 2005


Beyond the Numbers

It might seem sacrilegious somehow to write an article downplaying the importance of statistics in a publication like F3. Yet, sometimes that's what we have to do, as the knowledge to be gleaned in many reports comes from what the numbers both do and do not tell us. And sometimes even from areas that the numbers do not seem to reach.

A wonderful example of this can be found in FMI's new study of supermarket pharmacies. The report offers a wealth of statistics detailing the challenges and benchmarks of today's pharmacy operation. However it is the accompanying essays written by industry experts that make clear the more complex issues and opportunities in this very important part of the store.

You need both to see the whole picture.

For instance, the benchmarks demonstrate that pharmacies - one of the great growth departments in supermarkets for more than a decade - are facing a range of new struggles today. Competition from all forms of retail and increasingly mail order is making growth harder than ever. New government and insurance company regulations are both making life challenging. And suddenly the marvelous numbers companies have expected and received from pharmacies through the years are getting harder to produce.

Yet a very different picture emerges in the short series of essays at the end of the report. The essays, written by retail industry leaders, put the issues of pharmacy into perspective well beyond what numbers can tell us. One of these experts writes about the changing demographics of America and the impact of the enormous Baby Boom generation.

Even more importantly, another essayist writes about the staggering opportunity that supermarkets could find in their pharmacies if we find a way of combining all the attributes of our stores into a new solution for shoppers. Pharmacies and food can work together to help shoppers deal with their ever increasing nutritional needs and their desire to somehow eat and live healthier.

It's not a simple picture, nor is it a simple solution, but it's a scenario that could change the way we look at pharmacies and, more importantly, how our shoppers look at our pharmacies and our stores. It moves us beyond the simple numbers and into examining the full impact departments in the store can have on the shoppers we need to serve and win over daily.

The statistics - the benchmarks - help us understand where we are. The essays, and the discussions we need to have about all the many reports we preview here in F3, help us understand the larger challenges we face.

And sometimes, we see the possibilities.

To purchase Supermarket Pharmacy Trends 2005, visit www.fmi.org/store/.

 

Private Label Growth Continues Globally

Private label, once the purview of deep discounters, is continuing to emerge in mainstream retailing as a powerful tool in the global battle for profits, market share and product innovation.

But will store brands, embraced wholeheartedly by European shoppers for decades, ever have the same impact in other parts of the world and among a broader demographic?

The simple answer to these questions is not "if" but "when." In an industry where most players carry virtually the same products, private label is coming to the forefront as the key to differentiation - a strategy that enables retailers to brand the entire store. It is often what sets retailers apart from each other, while leveling the playing field for chains and independents. Furthermore, private labels are no longer viewed as just a cheap alternative to national brands and, in some cases, prices may be higher.

In our most recent study, The Power of Private Label, ACNielsen looked at developmental trends in 38 countries and across 80 categories and 14 product groups. Globally, private label share of sales was up to 17% and grew 5% in the past 12 months alone. Geographically, Europe was the share leader with private label accounting for 23% of sales - bolstered by Switzerland, Germany, Spain, Belgium and the UK. North America racked up a 7% gain bringing private label share to 16%. However, as trade strengthens, emerging markets in Eastern Europe and South Africa are showing the fastest growth at 11% for the year, according to ACNielsen research.

Concurrently, private label products are making inroads across more product categories, with refrigerated products - particularly complete heat-and-serve meals - experiencing the greatest growth. This foreshadows further development of private label products and categories by retailers attempting to meet the needs of a varied shopper base.

Although private labels generally cost less, price is no longer the sole determinant among these shoppers. They understand that price is what you pay, but value is what you get. As such, there is no typical private label consumer. They represent a cross-section of households, age and income, and there is no correlation between price and the products having the largest share. Throughout the world, retailers ranging from Aldi and Tesco to Loblaw and Trader Joe's are using private label as a way to match their store to the lifestyles and values of their customers. Even in high share markets like Switzerland where private label makes up an incredible 45% of sales, the peak has yet to be reached.


Free Standing Inserts: the 2005 Evolution
More than 136 billion coupons were distributed via Free Standing Inserts (FSIs) in Sunday newspapers during the first six months of 2005, according to a recent Marx FSI Trend Report. The figures represent the largest number of FSI coupons distributed in any half year since 1995.

Also, during the first half of 2005, total pages grew 5.9%, average coupon face values increased 6.7% to $1.09, and the average offer duration increased to 10.6 weeks.

According to the 2005 Coupon Trend Report from NCH Marketing Services, FSIs accounted for 67.2% of all coupons redeemed in 2004 - higher than in 2003 (62.4%) and in 2002 (60.8%). At the same time, FSIs as a percent of overall coupon distribution increased from 86% in 2002 to 86.8% and 87.6% in the following years.

However, of all FSIs issued, less than one percent are redeemed, and it appears that the cause rests in the execution of marketers. Manufactures have shortened the duration of the coupon offers: NCH data lists the average duration of an offer in 2004 as 2.8 months, compared to 2.9 in 2003 and 2002, 3.1 in 2001 and 3.3 months in 2000. In addition, more than one in every four coupons (26%) calls for consumers to buy two or more items to receive the full face-value discount of the FSI, making it harder for the consumer to redeem the offer.

According to the Marx report, issued by Marx Promotion Intelligence, the Consumer Packaged Goods industry continued to be the leading user of FSI pages in the first half of 2005 during which it increased pages by 3.4%. Coupons for non-food products increased 11.8%, while those for food decreased 7.9%. The average face value for both segments increased - a 4% or five-cent increase for non-food to $1.31 and a 5.3% or four-cent increase for food to 80 cents.

In the first half of 2005, household-cleaning products accounted for the most non-food FSI coupons in the first half of 2005 - (a 15% increase over the previous year) while the leading food segment for FSI coupons was snacks (with a 5.6% hike in distribution).

Wal-Mart became the top retail redeemer of manufacturer's coupons in 2004, replacing Kroger, which was number one for more than a decade.


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The Future of Food: Young consumers favor ethnic foods
The nation's palate is doubtlessly skewing ethnic. A trip to Taco Bell for tacos, burritos and gorditas - with rice and beans on the side - can hardly be thought of as exotic today. And according to New American Dimensions, a Los Angeles-based firm specializing in monitoring ethnic trends in the U.S., there are more Chinese restaurants in the U.S. than McDonald's, Wendy's and Burger King restaurants combined.

The melting pot that is America has had a natural effect on the menu preferences of American kids - and choices being made by young Americans have obvious implications on the grocery purchase behavior of American adults.

According to ACNielsen Homescan data, while families with children aged 12 and under accounted for 34% of the total dollars spent on food and beverages across all channels for the 52-week period ending 12/25/2004, that group accounted for 52% of all retail dollars spent on prepared Mexican dinners. (20 percent came from families with children less than 6; 32% came from families with children aged 6-12.)

Although not nearly as popular with younger American consumers as Hispanic offerings, a similar trend can be seen among select Asian food products. Forty-four percent of the dollars spent on Ramen noodles, for instance, come from families with children 12 and under (17% from families with children less than 6; 27% from families with children aged 6-12). So, too, Oriental sauces (soy, teriyaki, etc.) fare well quite well in U.S. households with young consumers, with 40% of the dollars spent coming from this group.


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Indeed, the trend in retail ethnic food sales mirrors the United States' changing ethnic makeup. In today's America, the fastest-growing ethnic market is Hispanic. While Caucasians still make up the majority (66% of the population), that number is down considerably from 1990 when it was 72%. In fact, three states - Hawaii, New Mexico and California, as well as the District of Columbia - have "majority minority" populations (that is, more minorities than single-race, non-Hispanic whites), and Texas is very close to joining that group.

It should come as no surprise, then, that tortillas are the nation's second-largest bread product (behind white bread), and that salsa outsells ketchup. But it's important to understand that the trend toward ethnic food is not just coming from ethnic consumers. According to New American Dimensions, 75% of ethnic food spending comes from the mainstream, not the ethnic group from which that food is derived.


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African Americans Buy Differently Too!
In last month's issue we provided details on how African American households have different retail channel shopping patterns to support the idea that "general population" mass-marketing is not appropriate for African American households. African American households make more annual "all-outlet" shopping trips, but they spend less per trip than remaining U.S. households. A higher percentage of African Americans shop Drugstores, Dollar Stores, Supercenters, and Convenience/Gas Stores. Like remaining households, the Grocery channel is the most shopped retail format among African Americans, but fewer African Americans shop Mass-Merchandisers and Warehouse Clubs. Generally speaking, they make more trips to the smaller, convenience-oriented formats (i.e., Drugstores, Dollar Stores, and Convenience/Gas Stores). We also noted dramatic differences in shopping preferences within alternative retail channel formats. African Americans are less likely to shop in Stationery Stores, Pet Stores, and Hardware/Home Improvement Stores, while they are more likely in shop in Automotive Supply and Beauty Supply Stores.

In this month's issue, we want to also illustrate differences in product category purchasing among African American households to show the need for targeted marketing solutions at the category level. The following slide lists the product categories with the largest differential in household penetration between African American and remaining U.S. households. It is not surprising to see the largest differential in ethnic health and beauty aids. Other personal care items (feminine hygiene and personal soap and bath additives) show gaps between the percent of African American and remaining U.S. households who buy these categories annually. African Americans have stronger preferences for fresheners and deodorizers as well as baby needs. Among food and beverage categories, non-carbonated beverages and refrigerated juices and drinks are on the list. Basic food staples like flour, dried vegetables and grains, and table syrups and molasses are more likely to be purchased by African Americans.


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In terms of annual category dollar buying rates, we see that African Americans outspend remaining U.S. households in a number of large product categories. Categories that exhibit the largest differences in annual spending are yeast, shelf stable juices and drinks, frozen unprepared meat and seafood, packaged meat - deli, ethnic health and beauty aids, and personal soap and bath additives.


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So what does this mean to retailers? For those retailers looking to appeal to the unique category needs of African American shoppers, the above categories should receive additional shelf space and merchandising support. Use them in your weekly ads to attract shoppers and drive larger shopping baskets.

For further information or to arrange a comprehensive presentation on consumer shopping patterns, please contact Todd Hale at thale@acnielsen.com or 859-905-4615.

The Difference Between Boys and Girls
Obesity has become one of the most pressing issues in this country - indeed, in all of western society. It is estimated that 30 percent of the adult population in the Western world is chronically overweight. An estimated one in five children is obese, or at risk for obesity.

Obesity can significantly increase a person's risk for diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, gallstones, osteoarthritis and certain kinds of cancer. In virtually all cases, obesity has a negative impact on a person's life expectancy.

A new survey from Supermarketguru.com sheds new light on the problems associated with childhood obesity. Adults living in households with one or more teens were invited to offer their opinions on a wide spectrum of issues revolving around the food-related behavior of their offspring. The results reveal a huge variance in the way teenage boys and girls perceive themselves, and their concern with their eating habits and overall health issues.

According to the readers of Supermarketguru.com, more teenage girls consider themselves "overweight" (37%) as opposed to "normal" (30%) and "underweight" (4%). According to 51% of the parents who responded to the survey, "being overweight" is the leading concern of their daughters, followed by "eating nutritious foods" (32%), "stress/anxiety (36%) and "not being physically fit" (23%).

Meanwhile, 49% of respondents said their teenage sons considered themselves "normal," with only 16% "overweight" and 9% "underweight." For boys, the physical fitness issue was directly associated with their concern about being overweight - both weighed in with 25% of the vote. "Eating nutritious foods" finished further down the list of priorities with boys, coming in fourth with just an 18% response. Not surprisingly, eating natural and/or vegetarian foods does not appear to be a priority for the American teenage male, as both registered only a 4% response.

Nonetheless, parents accept the responsibility of whatever dietary problems may exist with their teenage children. A full 80% of respondents say that what they buy or prepare affects the way their teens eat, while "what is quick" generated a 71% response. And the concern about soft drinks being sold in schools is a very real concern among parents. According to the survey, those products served in the cafeteria and those that are available in vending machines influence the way 51% of their teenage offspring eat.

'Tattooed' Fruit: May put an end to PLU stickers
Laser technology, which revolutionized medicine, home entertainment, and many other businesses and industries, has now been developed to replace the age-old PLU (Product Look Up) stickers that identify fruits and vegetables in retail outlets.

For all "loose" (i.e. non-bagged or boxed) produce, current PLU tags consist of small paper adhesive stickers with the propensity of dropping off somewhere between the packing plant and the cash register. Even those tags that remain affixed are often considered a nuisance by consumers, who have to carefully peel off each individual label - risking damage to the product.

But LaGrange, Ga.-based Durand-Wayland, Inc. is out to change all that. A new, patented natural light labeling process literally etches the PLU code on the item's skin.

While the technology has been referred to as "tattooing" in the media, in reality it is the opposite of tattooing because it removes pigment, as opposed to adding pigment to the skin.

In some cases, the contrast between the outer skin and inner skin is so slight that a small amount of food coloring is added in the post-etching process. But the etched label is completely edible, and has no affect on the item's taste whatsoever.

Advantages of the new process abound for the retailer.

"Say a consumer is interested in buying organic nectarines," explains a Durand-Wayland spokesperson. "It would be fairly easy to replace the PLU stickers on the organic fruit with stickers from non-organic products. The non-organic is far less expensive, of course. That can't happen with a laser-etched PLU code."

So far, the response of both retailers and consumers has been favorable. Besides label switching, Don Howard, Durand-Wayland marketing manager, points to several other advantages of using the new technology from the retailer's perspective.

"It's a much cleaner process," he explains. "Stickers can't fall off and get stuck on the checkout conveyors or fall on the floor."

It also doesn't require the checkout clerk to have an advanced degree in horticulture to figure out exactly which variety of peach this is. According to Howard, adhesive PLU stickers can be missing up to 70 percent of the time.

Adhesive labels can also be a choking hazard.

This laser technology should become industry standard in the not-too-distant future. The deal-sealer may well be the federal legislation passed in 2002 that requires each SKU of produce to carry the country of origin. This technology would greatly simplify the labeling process and insure that the correct label is on the appropriate product.

Olive Oil Growth Seen in Organics and Flavors
Consumers continue to be drawn to the olive oil shelves due to the products' highly-touted health benefits provided by antioxidants such as Vitamin E and phenols, especially in the extra virgin oils which are the least processed.

While overall ounce volume has leveled off in recent years, dollar sales have been increasing, indicating higher unit pricing and a move to the more expensive extra virgin, organic and flavored blends.

According to ACNielsen Strategic Planner, total U.S. dollar sales of olive oil in food, drug, mass merchandiser stores combined (excluding Wal-Mart) increased ten percent to $513 million for the 52 weeks ending Aug. 13, 2005. It was the fourth consecutive year of dollar sales increases. Meanwhile, and more telling, the equivalized unit volume (one eq unit equals 16 ounces) for the category has been essentially flat during the same time.

Among the largest segments of olive oil, extra virgin and extra light are increasing in equivalized unit volume. For the 52-weeks ending Aug. 13, 2005, the former increased 6.2% to 67 million equivalized units while the latter improved 4.2% to 13 million. During the same time, equivalized unit volume of pure olive oil declined 10.3% to 41 million.

While equivalized unit volume for organic olive oil is small in comparison (about a half million eq units), both dollar sales and eq volume are on the rise. Equivalized unit volume increased 52.4 percent for the 52 weeks ending Aug. 13, 2005.

More expensive specialty olive oils, now numbering over 125 SKUs, are even smaller in equivalized unit volume (most under 10,000 eq units), but may illuminate the category's path to growth. Among the SKUs growing the most in equivalized unit volume are: white truffle, black truffle, spicy Tuscan, extra virgin basil and garlic, extra virgin chili, blood orange, and parmesan garlic. Typically sold in more specialty outlets, these varieties are making their way onto mainstream shelves, and offer the retailer and brands more flavorful sampling opportunities.

Overall, in the cooking and salad oil category (excluding olive oil) the equivalized unit volume fell 2.1% for the 52 weeks ending Aug. 13, 2005. There were declines in two of the three largest segments, vegetable (-1.8%) and corn (-3.8%), while canola oil (which has similar health benefits to olive oil) was flat.


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It is important to note that all three clearly outpaced olive oil in terms of equivalized unit volume: vegetable (481 million), canola (248 million), corn (189 million), and olive oil (136 million).

Self-Checkout: More Male, and More Popular
Research indicates that anywhere between 25% and 50% of the daily retail transactions in the U.S. (accounting for 15% to 35% of daily dollar volume) are now handled via self-checkout lanes. The customer rightly perceives that time spent in line is shorter in the self-checkout lane. Baskets are typically smaller sized, even smaller than in the "express" staffed lanes. One important point to note is that shoppers feel empowered throughout the process - making it an "active" procedure, rather than a passive one - affording the perception that the time spent is shorter.

Self-checkout systems are a boon to the retailer's bottom line, diminishing labor costs. One employee can typically handle three or four self-checkout lanes during even the busiest times, allowing the retailer to deploy staff in other more profitable functions around the store (including customer service). In slower times, it allows for a skeleton crew to work the front of the store.

Franklin, Tenn.-based IHL Consulting Group has issued a new report, 2005 North American Self-Checkout Study, which analyzes the growth and effectiveness of self-checkout POS technology, and shoppers' attitudes towards shelf-checkout. Among its major findings:

  • Self-checkout has virtual universal usage. 94% of all respondents to the study have used self-checkout.
  • In 2004, American shoppers spent over $82 billion in shelf-checkout lanes. That represents a 96% increase over 2003, thanks largely to expansion in supercenters, warehouse club stores and DIY outlets.
  • 28% of respondents use self-checkout lanes more than 70% of the time they shop.
  • An average of 6.6 items are purchased per self-checkout transaction, averaging $34.91.
  • 52% of respondents say the thing they like least about the self-checkout process is employee intervention, but one in every three self-checkout transactions requires some sort of help from a store employee.
  • Men use self-checkout 17% more often than women.


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    While self-service lanes have popped up seemingly everywhere, much more can be done in the merchandising area to spur spontaneous (i.e. incremental) sales. Retailers have thus far largely dropped the ball in terms of merchandising the proper items to entice shoppers in the self-checkout lane to make impulse purchases, according to the IHL study.

    "If men are the predominant users of self-checkout, retailers should focus on providing more impulse items for men at the head of self-checkout lanes," explains Greg Buzek, president of IHL.


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  • Whitening, a rare bright spot, helps quell $100M sales skid in toothpastes
    Over 200 new toothpaste SKUs brought to market each year since 2002 prove segmentation is a dominant category trend. The many varieties of toothpastes - whitening, sensitive, smoker, round-the-clock protection, natural and baking soda - each have their loyalists.

    Yet the bevy of paste formulas launched to meet specific consumer preferences hasn't propelled total category sales so far this decade. Quite the opposite is true.

    Ounce volume has slid steadily - by 3.2% in the 52 weeks ended August 17, 2002, 3.9% in the 2003 period and 3.2% in the 2004 period - before finally edging up by 0.8% in the latest 52-week period, according to ACNielsen Strategic Planner data.

    On a dollar scale, the category has experienced annual sales drops of 1.9%, 4.4% and 1.2% during the identical periods, before a recent uptick of 0.1% in the most recent period. That translates into a $100 million category skid - from $1.31 billion in 2001 to $1.21 billion, currently.

    The parallel trends in dollar sales and ounce volume reflect slight price rises along the way. More significantly, the latest upturn hints at the nation's first possible real increase in teeth brushing in a while.

    Data from the American Dental Association confirm this. Its latest Public Opinion Survey, conducted in December 2003, shows that 25% of American adults brush their teeth after every meal, up from 15% in 2001 and just 12% in 1997. Brightening prospects are the 29% of 18-to-29-year-olds who said they brush after every meal.

    The whitening segment shines amid the overall grayish category sales picture. Whitening pastes have grown steadily to contribute a healthy majority of toothpaste sales - 56% of dollar sales currently, up from 45% in 2002. On an equivalized unit (ounce) basis, whitening pastes now account for 52% of volume, up from 40% in 2002.

    Even the most desirable product traits may not induce people to brush more often, thus the category's generally flat performance. Yet whitening formulas flex their growing command of pastes. Why not, given consumers' other options for whiter, shinier smiles: $400 or more at a dentist, or $20-plus per purchase of whitening systems that require careful use.

    Consumers, it seems, will gladly pay a slight price premium over classic paste formulas for a simple, convenient way to whiten. Retail prices were 44 cents per ounce for toothpaste overall, and 49 cents per ounce for whitening formulas, in 2001; these figures have barely budged, to 45 cents overall and 48 cents for whitening in 2005.

    Where the explosion of new oral care SKUs - 229 in the latest 12 months in toothpastes alone - may freeze shoppers at the shelf with so much choice, it is abundantly clear that whitening pastes are the category's biggest draws. When whitening formulas first arrived with brands such as Den-Mat, they had cachet and deserved what was then a hefty premium over classic pastes. Today, they've become a common baseline offer, used regularly by consumers of all life stages and education levels. People aspire to whiter teeth, regardless of age, income or size of household.

    Whitening pastes have jumped from 33% of annual category introductions in 2002 to 56% in 2005. Their impact on the bottom line is significant: they generate their 56% share of dollar sales on just 41% of active SKUs. They're asserting greater category command with equivalized unit gains of 8.5% in the 52 weeks ended August 13, 2005 versus the overall category's slight bump of 0.8%; whitening pastes posted prior annual gains of 13.1% in the 2002 period, 4.5% in 2003 and 5.8% in 2004, while the overall category was in descent.

    What's next? Whitening in combination with other attributes? More powerful whitening pastes? Smile and ponder the possibilities.


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    Study: Are Wal-Mart Shoppers Different from Target Shoppers?
    A new study by Scarborough Research suggests that Wal-Mart and Target are "are attracting distinct customer bases", and the household shopping patterns of the Wal-Mart-exclusive shopper are much different than those of the Target-exclusive shopper.

    One of the major differentiators of typical Wal-Mart and Target shoppers is that Wal-Mart shoppers are a lot less likely to shop elsewhere (31% exclusive), while Target consumers are less loyal (12% exclusive).

    In part, the Scarborough study suggests, this is a matter of economics. After all, the Wal-Mart shopper tends to be driven by bargains and therefore will only go to other stores that appear to be deal-oriented, such as dollar stores and Kmart. Target customers have been trained by Target to seek "retail experiences." In fact, out of 15 alternative retailers mentioned to the people surveyed, the only ones Target shoppers didn't embrace as much were the deal-driven stores preferred by Wal-Mart shoppers.

    However, it has to be noted that Scarborough found a lot of overlap between the two retailers - 40% of US adults said that they shopped both at Wal-Mart and Target. And the combined marketing power of the two retailers is enormous - 83% of US adults said they shopped at Wal-Mart, Target or both.

    The question that remains is what will happen as Wal-Mart changes its strategic direction in an effort to attract more upscale shoppers with a greater level of disposable income. For example, the company has said that this fall it plans to add more cutting edge electronics and fashion items to its stores including such products as a $1,000 digital camera, while still trying to appeal to core lower-income shoppers.

    One thing seems likely, though. The number of people who shop neither retailer - now just 17% of US adults - is only going to diminish.

    Massachusetts Grocer Offering Cell Phone-Based Loyalty Program
    An upscale grocery store located in Cambridge's Harvard Square just outside Boston has become the first merchant in the nation to link customers to their loyalty marketing program via their cell phones.

    The store, Broadway Marketplace, will be using technology created by Watertown, Mass-based MobileLime to offer discounts delivered to shoppers' cell phones.

    Rather than issuing a typical membership card or number, MobileLime uses the shopper's cell phone number as a unique identifier. The customer dials into the system upon entering the store - the dial-in numbers and store code will be clearly marked at the entrance - and specials will be immediately downloaded to the shopper's cell phone. Then, when arriving at checkout, the customer identifies herself as a MobileLime user and provides the last four numbers of the cell phone - and the applicable discounts are provided.

    A spokesperson for MobileLime says that eventually Broadway Marketplace also plans to use the technology for payment purposes, with credit and/or debit cards linked to customers' cell phones. While the supermarket is the first grocery store to use the system, it also is being used in the Boston area by more than 80 different merchants, ranging from restaurants to florists, bars to taxi services - mostly for payment purposes.

    But the real power of the system would seem to be the ability for the store to track and understand their shoppers' purchasing preferences in order to customize special promotions and send real-time offers to improve the overall shopping experience. Vegetarians, for example, won't get discounts for beef brisket, and dog owners won't see cat food coupons; it also is possible that foods with relevance to a customer's specific health needs or medical conditions could be highlighted by the system.

    There is no shortage of ways to deliver paperless discounts these days, but effective loyalty programs that really do target consumer needs are not nearly as plentiful.


  • The following slides use indices to compare retail channel performance vs. year ago on three metrics:
    -Dollar sales, number of shoppers, and shopping frequency

  • An index of 100 means there has been no change

  • Among the key findings...
    -Convenience/Gas and Dollar stores continue to perform better versus other channels in dollar sales growth
    -Dollar stores continue to perform better versus other channels in the number of shoppers they're attracting.
    -Drug Stores have been outperforming the other channels in shopping frequency gains, but show a recent decline


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    Facts, Figures and the Future is copyrighted and may not be reproduced without prior permission. For more information about the publication, please contact Phil Lempert at 323-860-3070 or via e-mail at PLempert@FactsFiguresFuture.com

     
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